TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Matej Myler vs Lukas Rulc 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Matej Myler
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111012911––––
Lukas Rulc
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMatej Myler above · Lukas Rulc below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 46 set 3, 9-11
46 points drawn · the score is 12 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Matej Myler 6–9 Lukas Rulc Matej Myler has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Myler beat Rulc 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rulc)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rulc form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMyler 2.00 / Rulc 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rulc)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13184569
Myler2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 8 of 16
Down 0–1, comes back29% 2 of 7
Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5
Rulc1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 90 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it85% 39 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it66% 62 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMyler5wins
AwayRulc5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMyler50%2 of 4
AwayRulc50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Myler4Rulc6n = 10Rulc took 6 of 10
S2Myler5Rulc5n = 10split evenly
S3Myler3Rulc7n = 10Rulc took 7 of 10
S4Myler7Rulc1n = 8Myler took 7 of 8
S5Myler2Rulc3n = 5Rulc took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMylerRulcM − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.341.2−0.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMylerRulcBasisWin rate · lifetime31 / 66 vs 342 / 68647%49.9%31 / 66 vs 342 / 686Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.839.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RulcMyler 2.00/Rulc 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Rulc · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rulc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 13:45M. Myler4311911123L. Rulc378118101
LMar 3 · 21:24M. Myler235990L. Rulc331111113
WMar 3 · 18:45M. Myler501013511113L. Rulc43121111452
LDec 16 · 15:00M. Myler47611111272L. Rulc531181310113
LDec 5 · 13:16M. Myler4811991182L. Rulc48811117113
LDec 5 · 10:45M. Myler40111131232L. Rulc49671114113
WOct 21 · 09:15M. Myler4061111123L. Rulc341167101
WOct 14 · 12:20M. Myler48117711123L. Rulc48711119102
LOct 14 · 09:45M. Myler224990L. Rulc331111113
WMay 24 · 12:22M. Myler4281112113L. Rulc341141091
M. Myler10
LSep 23 · 15:45M. Myler1.91101040S. Rejent1.801212113LSep 23 · 14:15O. Mezera2.10111211143M. Myler1.679147121WSep 23 · 13:45L. Rulc1.678118101M. Myler2.1011911123LSep 22 · 16:49M. Myler1.73911119132J. Senk2.00119911153WSep 22 · 15:45J. Senk1.6795150M. Myler2.101111152WSep 22 · 14:45O. Mezera2.0071181172M. Myler1.73118118113WSep 22 · 13:15L. Veigl1.531011911102M. Myler2.38127119123LSep 9 · 16:54J. Senk1.831111123M. Myler1.8384100LSep 9 · 15:45M. Myler1.8312163952J. Senk1.8310141111113WSep 9 · 14:15O. Mezera1.83115101182M. Myler1.83811127113
L. Rulc10
LSep 23 · 15:15O. Mezera3.75611811153L. Rulc1.25118118132WSep 23 · 14:45L. Rulc1.80911119113S. Rejent1.9111961142LSep 23 · 13:45L. Rulc1.678118101M. Myler2.1011911123WSep 22 · 12:19L. Rulc1.831111113L. Adam1.837990LSep 22 · 11:15L. Adam1.73411711123L. Rulc2.00115117102WSep 22 · 10:45L. Rulc1.80111111113M. Makara1.91813941LSep 22 · 09:45L. Rulc1.736980T. Liska2.001111113WSep 16 · 20:48L. Rulc2.00111011113S. Rejent1.73812671LSep 16 · 19:45S. Rejent2.1011118113L. Rulc1.67981191WSep 16 · 18:45O. Mezera3.506790L. Rulc1.281111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.