TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Lukas Rulc vs Lukas Adam 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Lukas Rulc
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119119––––
Lukas Adam
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingLukas Rulc above · Lukas Adam below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 58 set 3, 11-9
58 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Rulc 18–25 Lukas Adam Lukas Rulc has won 18 of their 43 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Adam beat Rulc 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Adam)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adam form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRulc 1.83 / Adam 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Adam)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13177515
Rulc1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Adam1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRulc5wins
AwayAdam5wins
8 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRulc50%3 of 6
AwayAdam50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rulc6Adam4n = 10Rulc took 6 of 10
S2Rulc6Adam4n = 10Rulc took 6 of 10
S3Rulc3Adam7n = 10Adam took 7 of 10
S4Rulc5Adam5n = 10split evenly
S5Rulc4Adam4n = 8split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRulcAdamR − ABasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match46.845.6+1.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRulcAdamBasisWin rate · lifetime343 / 688 vs 285 / 55049.9%51.8%343 / 688 vs 285 / 550Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.740.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamRulc 1.83/Adam 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Adam · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rulc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 11:15L. Rulc44115117102L. Adam45411711123
WAug 20 · 06:15L. Rulc521281011113L. Adam46101112582
LAug 11 · 07:45L. Rulc32119841L. Adam4291111113
WJun 18 · 05:15L. Rulc49111188113L. Adam3662111162
WJun 15 · 12:28L. Rulc45101212113L. Adam4012101081
LJun 15 · 09:30L. Rulc4591151192L. Adam47118116113
LJun 12 · 12:44L. Rulc4181141172L. Adam46116117113
WJun 12 · 10:45L. Rulc45111148113L. Adam4379111152
WJun 4 · 06:00L. Rulc58911918113L. Adam53119111662
LJun 1 · 10:45L. Rulc571213118132L. Adam581015711153
L. Rulc10
LSep 22 · 11:15L. Adam1.73411711123L. Rulc2.00115117102WSep 22 · 10:45L. Rulc1.80111111113M. Makara1.91813941LSep 22 · 09:45L. Rulc1.736980T. Liska2.001111113WSep 16 · 20:48L. Rulc2.00111011113S. Rejent1.73812671LSep 16 · 19:45S. Rejent2.1011118113L. Rulc1.67981191WSep 16 · 18:45O. Mezera3.506790L. Rulc1.281111113WSep 16 · 17:15J. Dufek2.00471181L. Rulc1.7311118113WSep 15 · 09:04R. Pisa1.8376100L. Rulc1.831111123LSep 15 · 07:30M. Ullman2.0015111011113L. Rulc1.7317812672WSep 15 · 07:00L. Rulc1.83111011113J. Senk1.83512651
L. Adam10
WSep 22 · 11:15L. Adam1.73411711123L. Rulc2.00115117102LSep 22 · 10:15L. Adam1.73861151T. Liska2.0011116113LSep 22 · 09:15L. Adam1.67117118102M. Makara2.10911911123LSep 21 · 12:49R. Pisa2.381111113L. Adam1.538530WSep 21 · 11:15M. Stibor1.671511911102L. Adam2.10179119123WSep 21 · 10:45L. Adam2.38118811113M. Zelinka1.5351111662LSep 21 · 09:45L. Adam1.5315560R. Pisa2.381711113WSep 15 · 08:18L. Dobias1.73119871L. Adam2.0071111113LSep 15 · 07:15L. Adam2.009390L. Dobias1.731111113WSep 15 · 06:15L. Adam3.001171112113P. Wasik1.36311131062
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