TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13143129
Played Sep 16Finished
Lukas Rulc
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181012116117––
Stepan Rejent
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
How it is goingLukas Rulc above · Stepan Rejent below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 76 set 4, 11-7
76 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Rulc 55–46 Stepan Rejent Stepan Rejent has won 46 of their 101 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Rejent beat Rulc 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rejent)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rejent form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRulc 2.00 / Rejent 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rejent)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13143129
Rulc2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 51 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back14% 8 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 22
Rejent1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 76 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it97% 34 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it74% 55 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRulc4wins
AwayRejent6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRejent leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRulc100%4 of 4
AwayRejent100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rulc4Rejent6n = 10Rejent took 6 of 10
S2Rulc3Rejent7n = 10Rejent took 7 of 10
S3Rulc6Rejent4n = 10Rulc took 6 of 10
S4Rulc5Rejent2n = 7Rulc took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRulcRejentRulc − RejentBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.737.5−0.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRulcRejentBasisWin rate · lifetime349 / 703 vs 367 / 78149.6%47%349 / 703 vs 367 / 781Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RejentRulc 2.00/Rejent 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Rejent · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rulc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 19:45L. Rulc37981191S. Rejent4111118113
LAug 9 · 18:15L. Rulc2061040S. Rejent341112113
LAug 2 · 20:43L. Rulc48107111192S. Rejent43121136113
WAug 2 · 18:15L. Rulc3711114113S. Rejent33991141
LAug 1 · 09:09L. Rulc32611871S. Rejent3911611113
WAug 1 · 06:00L. Rulc461421113S. Rejent38121970
WJul 26 · 16:54L. Rulc4111811113S. Rejent32811761
WJul 26 · 13:45L. Rulc3811412113S. Rejent358111061
LJul 5 · 20:43L. Rulc2256110S. Rejent351111133
LJul 5 · 18:15L. Rulc4689111172S. Rejent45111166113
L. Rulc10
LSep 16 · 19:45S. Rejent2.1011118113L. Rulc1.67981191WSep 16 · 18:45O. Mezera3.506790L. Rulc1.281111113WSep 16 · 17:15J. Dufek2.00471181L. Rulc1.7311118113WSep 15 · 09:04R. Pisa1.8376100L. Rulc1.831111123LSep 15 · 07:30M. Ullman2.0015111011113L. Rulc1.7317812672WSep 15 · 07:00L. Rulc1.83111011113J. Senk1.83512651LSep 15 · 06:00L. Rulc1.9189120R. Pisa1.801111143WSep 14 · 08:23T. Liska2.107990L. Rulc1.671111113LSep 14 · 07:15L. Rulc1.7311510111T. Liska2.0071112133WSep 14 · 06:15L. Rulc2.2571111153L. Dobias1.571169131
S. Rejent10
WSep 16 · 19:45S. Rejent2.1011118113L. Rulc1.67981191WSep 16 · 18:15J. Dufek1.838151151S. Rejent1.8311171113WSep 16 · 17:45O. Mezera2.207111071S. Rejent1.6111612113WSep 15 · 20:43S. Rejent1.831111123V. Grubr1.8385100WSep 15 · 19:45S. Rejent2.251111113J. Sr1.577980LSep 15 · 18:15J. Dolezal2.0041111113S. Rejent1.73117881LSep 15 · 17:45V. Grubr2.001111113S. Rejent1.735960LSep 14 · 16:15S. Rejent1.6181112772O. Mezera2.201191011113LSep 14 · 15:15O. Mezera2.25118511113S. Rejent1.5761111892WSep 14 · 14:45S. Rejent1.67131158113M. Makara2.10116111182
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