TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Matej Myler vs Stepan Rejent 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Matej Myler
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10121012411––––
Stepan Rejent
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeStepan Rejent to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMatej Myler above · Stepan Rejent below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 59 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Stepan Rejent at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Matej Myler 6–10 Stepan Rejent Matej Myler has won 6 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:28What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Rejent
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-10 in 16
Rejent
Correct
gap of 4 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Myler 1634 vs Rejent 1609
Myler
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Myler 60% vs Rejent 40%
Myler
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Myler 60% vs Rejent 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Myler -1 · Rejent -3
Rejent
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rejent)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rejent form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMyler 1.91 / Rejent 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rejent)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13180084
Myler1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 8 of 16
Down 0–1, comes back29% 2 of 7
Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5
Rejent1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 74 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it75% 55 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMyler3wins
AwayRejent7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderRejent leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMyler33.3%1 of 3
AwayRejent71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Myler3Rejent7n = 10Rejent took 7 of 10
S2Myler6Rejent4n = 10Myler took 6 of 10
S3Myler4Rejent6n = 10Rejent took 6 of 10
S4Myler4Rejent3n = 7Myler took 4 of 7
S5Myler1Rejent3n = 4Rejent took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMylerRejentM − RBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match42.144.5−2.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMylerRejentBasisWin rate · lifetime31 / 65 vs 358 / 76347.7%46.9%31 / 65 vs 358 / 763Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RejentMyler 1.91/Rejent 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rejent · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rejent won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 9 · 13:45M. Myler44111156113S. Rejent4678111192
WSep 7 · 13:45M. Myler45121111113S. Rejent37148871
LAug 26 · 13:45M. Myler4291161152S. Rejent50118119113
LApr 9 · 13:45M. Myler4211912101S. Rejent4251114123
LDec 16 · 17:33M. Myler4877111582S. Rejent551111913113
LDec 16 · 15:30M. Myler481210113122S. Rejent561012911143
LMay 22 · 13:45M. Myler27610110S. Rejent361112133
WMay 1 · 14:45M. Myler4171111123S. Rejent341176101
M. Myler10
LSep 23 · 16:14M. Myler2.0051090L. Rulc1.731112113LSep 23 · 14:15O. Mezera2.10111211143M. Myler1.679147121WSep 23 · 13:45L. Rulc1.678118101M. Myler2.1011911123LSep 22 · 16:49M. Myler1.73911119132J. Senk2.00119911153WSep 22 · 15:45J. Senk1.6795150M. Myler2.101111152WSep 22 · 14:45O. Mezera2.0071181172M. Myler1.73118118113WSep 22 · 13:15L. Veigl1.531011911102M. Myler2.38127119123LSep 9 · 16:54J. Senk1.831111123M. Myler1.8384100LSep 9 · 15:45M. Myler1.8312163952J. Senk1.8310141111113WSep 9 · 14:15O. Mezera1.83115101182M. Myler1.83811127113
S. Rejent10
LSep 23 · 14:45L. Rulc1.80911119113S. Rejent1.9111961142LSep 23 · 13:15O. Mezera1.91116511113S. Rejent1.8071111982LSep 16 · 20:48L. Rulc2.00111011113S. Rejent1.73812671WSep 16 · 19:45S. Rejent2.1011118113L. Rulc1.67981191WSep 16 · 18:15J. Dufek1.838151151S. Rejent1.8311171113WSep 16 · 17:45O. Mezera2.207111071S. Rejent1.6111612113WSep 15 · 20:43S. Rejent1.831111123V. Grubr1.8385100WSep 15 · 19:45S. Rejent2.251111113J. Sr1.577980LSep 15 · 18:15J. Dolezal2.0041111113S. Rejent1.73117881LSep 15 · 17:45V. Grubr2.001111113S. Rejent1.735960
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