TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Lukas Rulc vs Matej Myler 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Lukas Rulc
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111198111012––
Matej Myler
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:10 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeLukas Rulc to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Rulc above · Matej Myler below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 80 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Lukas Rulc at 56.6%
80 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Rulc 9–5 Matej Myler Matej Myler has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:10What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Rulc
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-5 in 14
Rulc
Wrong
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rulc 1671 vs Myler 1635
Rulc
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rulc 60% vs Myler 40%
Rulc
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rulc 60% vs Myler 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rulc +1 · Myler -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Rulc)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRulc 1.67 / Myler 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Rulc)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13180258
Rulc1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 22)
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite56% won 90 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it85% 39 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it66% 62 of 94
Myler2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 8 of 16
Down 0–1, comes back29% 2 of 7
Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRulc6wins
AwayMyler4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderRulc leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRulc50%3 of 6
AwayMyler25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rulc6Myler4n = 10Rulc took 6 of 10
S2Rulc5Myler5n = 10split evenly
S3Rulc8Myler2n = 10Rulc took 8 of 10
S4Rulc1Myler7n = 8Myler took 7 of 8
S5Rulc3Myler2n = 5Rulc took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRulcMylerR − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.740.0+1.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRulcMylerBasisWin rate · lifetime344 / 687 vs 30 / 6350.1%47.6%344 / 687 vs 30 / 63Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.640.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RulcRulc 1.67/Myler 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Rulc · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Myler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WMar 3 · 21:24L. Rulc331111113M. Myler235990
LMar 3 · 18:45L. Rulc43121111452M. Myler501013511113
WDec 16 · 15:00L. Rulc531181310113M. Myler47611111272
WDec 5 · 13:16L. Rulc48811117113M. Myler4811991182
WDec 5 · 10:45L. Rulc49671114113M. Myler40111131232
LOct 21 · 09:15L. Rulc341167101M. Myler4061111123
LOct 14 · 12:20L. Rulc48711119102M. Myler48117711123
WOct 14 · 09:45L. Rulc331111113M. Myler224990
LMay 24 · 12:22L. Rulc341141091M. Myler4281112113
L. Rulc10
WSep 23 · 14:45L. Rulc1.80911119113S. Rejent1.9111961142WSep 22 · 12:19L. Rulc1.831111113L. Adam1.837990LSep 22 · 11:15L. Adam1.73411711123L. Rulc2.00115117102WSep 22 · 10:45L. Rulc1.80111111113M. Makara1.91813941LSep 22 · 09:45L. Rulc1.736980T. Liska2.001111113WSep 16 · 20:48L. Rulc2.00111011113S. Rejent1.73812671LSep 16 · 19:45S. Rejent2.1011118113L. Rulc1.67981191WSep 16 · 18:45O. Mezera3.506790L. Rulc1.281111113WSep 16 · 17:15J. Dufek2.00471181L. Rulc1.7311118113WSep 15 · 09:04R. Pisa1.8376100L. Rulc1.831111123
M. Myler10
LSep 23 · 14:15O. Mezera2.10111211143M. Myler1.679147121LSep 22 · 16:49M. Myler1.73911119132J. Senk2.00119911153WSep 22 · 15:45J. Senk1.6795150M. Myler2.101111152WSep 22 · 14:45O. Mezera2.0071181172M. Myler1.73118118113WSep 22 · 13:15L. Veigl1.531011911102M. Myler2.38127119123LSep 9 · 16:54J. Senk1.831111123M. Myler1.8384100LSep 9 · 15:45M. Myler1.8312163952J. Senk1.8310141111113WSep 9 · 14:15O. Mezera1.83115101182M. Myler1.83811127113WSep 9 · 13:45S. Rejent1.7378111192M. Myler2.00111156113WSep 7 · 16:48M. Makara1.83119111182M. Myler1.83711132113
Upcoming Matches
L. Rulc
Nothing scheduled
M. Myler
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