TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ondrej Mezera vs Stepan Rejent 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Ondrej Mezera
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117611511119118
Stepan Rejent
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:23 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeStepan Rejent to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Mezera above · Stepan Rejent below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 90 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Stepan Rejent at 58.5%
90 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Mezera 17–20 Stepan Rejent Ondrej Mezera has won 17 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:23What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Rejent
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-20 in 37
Rejent
Wrong
gap of 3 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mezera 1550 vs Rejent 1632
Rejent
Wrong
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mezera 20% vs Rejent 80%
Rejent
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mezera 40% vs Rejent 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mezera -1 · Rejent -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rejent) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rejent form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMezera 1.91 / Rejent 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rejent)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13180325
Mezera1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 110 of 245
Down 0–1, comes back32% 46 of 145
Down 0–2, comes back19% 14 of 73
Rejent1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 16) · back after a break
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 74 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it75% 55 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMezera6wins
AwayRejent4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMezera leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMezera100%3 of 3
AwayRejent57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mezera3Rejent7n = 10Rejent took 7 of 10
S2Mezera6Rejent4n = 10Mezera took 6 of 10
S3Mezera3Rejent7n = 10Rejent took 7 of 10
S4Mezera5Rejent2n = 7Mezera took 5 of 7
S5Mezera4Rejent1n = 5Mezera took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMezeraRejentM − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.941.3−1.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMezeraRejentBasisWin rate · lifetime394 / 802 vs 367 / 78249.1%46.9%394 / 802 vs 367 / 782Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.838.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RejentMezera 1.91/Rejent 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Rejent · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mezera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 17:45O. Mezera357111071S. Rejent4011612113
WSep 14 · 16:15O. Mezera521191011113S. Rejent4581112772
WSep 14 · 15:15O. Mezera46118511113S. Rejent4561111892
WSep 9 · 16:23O. Mezera45311119113S. Rejent4611991162
LSep 9 · 15:15O. Mezera239770S. Rejent331111113
WSep 8 · 15:15O. Mezera51911911113S. Rejent4611911962
WSep 7 · 16:19O. Mezera391117113S. Rejent3171590
LSep 7 · 14:15O. Mezera207490S. Rejent331111113
LSep 3 · 15:45O. Mezera4191141342S. Rejent531191111113
WAug 26 · 16:14O. Mezera4781111173S. Rejent411187151
O. Mezera10
WSep 23 · 14:15O. Mezera2.10111211143M. Myler1.679147121LSep 22 · 16:19O. Mezera2.38814711112L. Veigl1.531112118133WSep 22 · 15:15L. Veigl1.5311117972O. Mezera2.38681111113LSep 22 · 14:45O. Mezera2.0071181172M. Myler1.73118118113LSep 22 · 13:45O. Mezera2.001011991J. Senk1.7312911113LSep 16 · 20:18O. Mezera1.834490J. Dufek1.831111113WSep 16 · 19:15J. Dufek1.838101111112O. Mezera1.83111292133LSep 16 · 18:45O. Mezera3.506790L. Rulc1.281111113LSep 16 · 17:45O. Mezera2.207111071S. Rejent1.6111612113WSep 14 · 16:15S. Rejent1.6181112772O. Mezera2.201191011113
S. Rejent10
LSep 23 · 14:45L. Rulc1.80911119113S. Rejent1.9111961142LSep 16 · 20:48L. Rulc2.00111011113S. Rejent1.73812671WSep 16 · 19:45S. Rejent2.1011118113L. Rulc1.67981191WSep 16 · 18:15J. Dufek1.838151151S. Rejent1.8311171113WSep 16 · 17:45O. Mezera2.207111071S. Rejent1.6111612113WSep 15 · 20:43S. Rejent1.831111123V. Grubr1.8385100WSep 15 · 19:45S. Rejent2.251111113J. Sr1.577980LSep 15 · 18:15J. Dolezal2.0041111113S. Rejent1.73117881LSep 15 · 17:45V. Grubr2.001111113S. Rejent1.735960LSep 14 · 16:15S. Rejent1.6181112772O. Mezera2.201191011113
Upcoming Matches
O. Mezera
Nothing scheduled
S. Rejent
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