TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ondrej Mezera vs Lukas Veigl 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Ondrej Mezera
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
81114127111181113
Lukas Veigl
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingOndrej Mezera above · Lukas Veigl below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 106 set 5, 11-13
106 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Mezera 7–8 Lukas Veigl Ondrej Mezera has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Mezera beat Veigl 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Veigl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Veigl form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMezera 2.38 / Veigl 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Veigl)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13179480
Mezera2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 109 of 242
Down 0–1, comes back32% 45 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back18% 13 of 72
Veigl1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 61 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it76% 41 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMezera4wins
AwayVeigl6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderVeigl leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMezera25%1 of 4
AwayVeigl50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mezera4Veigl6n = 10Veigl took 6 of 10
S2Mezera6Veigl4n = 10Mezera took 6 of 10
S3Mezera2Veigl8n = 10Veigl took 8 of 10
S4Mezera3Veigl6n = 9Veigl took 6 of 9
S5Mezera3Veigl2n = 5Mezera took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMezeraVeiglM − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.045.0−4.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMezeraVeiglBasisWin rate · lifetime394 / 801 vs 275 / 53249.2%51.7%394 / 801 vs 275 / 532Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.840.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeiglMezera 2.38/Veigl 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Veigl · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Veigl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 22 · 15:15O. Mezera47681111113L. Veigl4511117972
WJul 30 · 06:45O. Mezera51111577113L. Veigl49813111162
LJul 29 · 14:15O. Mezera35117891L. Veigl4181111113
LJul 22 · 15:15O. Mezera348115101L. Veigl4011611123
LJul 9 · 14:15O. Mezera391268131L. Veigl47101111153
LJul 8 · 14:15O. Mezera42311116112L. Veigl50119611133
WJul 7 · 16:14O. Mezera481211311113L. Veigl4714911582
LJul 7 · 13:15O. Mezera4411136862L. Veigl506111111113
LJun 25 · 20:53O. Mezera29101180L. Veigl361213113
O. Mezera10
WSep 22 · 15:15L. Veigl1.5311117972O. Mezera2.38681111113LSep 22 · 14:45O. Mezera2.0071181172M. Myler1.73118118113LSep 22 · 13:45O. Mezera2.001011991J. Senk1.7312911113LSep 16 · 20:18O. Mezera1.834490J. Dufek1.831111113WSep 16 · 19:15J. Dufek1.838101111112O. Mezera1.83111292133LSep 16 · 18:45O. Mezera3.506790L. Rulc1.281111113LSep 16 · 17:45O. Mezera2.207111071S. Rejent1.6111612113WSep 14 · 16:15S. Rejent1.6181112772O. Mezera2.201191011113WSep 14 · 15:15O. Mezera2.25118511113S. Rejent1.5761111892LSep 14 · 14:15O. Mezera2.3891111852R. Pisa1.53118511113
L. Veigl10
LSep 22 · 15:15L. Veigl1.5311117972O. Mezera2.38681111113WSep 22 · 14:15L. Veigl1.571011611173J. Senk2.25122115152LSep 22 · 13:15L. Veigl1.531011911102M. Myler2.38127119123WSep 20 · 16:54L. Veigl1.73121397113T. Liska2.001011111182LSep 20 · 15:45T. Liska1.80117111363L. Veigl1.9141191552WSep 20 · 14:45V. Burylov1.67911118102L. Veigl2.10116611123LSep 20 · 13:15L. Svoboda1.73111268113L. Veigl2.00810111152LSep 19 · 20:48L. Veigl2.0011111271V. Burylov1.73131310113WSep 19 · 19:45L. Veigl2.20811117123M. Makara1.61118211102WSep 19 · 18:15L. Svoboda1.6781180L. Veigl2.101113113
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