TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Marian Melisek vs Jan Blazek 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Marian Melisek
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118119711119––
Jan Blazek
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingMarian Melisek above · Jan Blazek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 77 set 4, 11-9
77 points played in total.
H2H Marian Melisek 26–21 Jan Blazek Jan Blazek has won 21 of their 47 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Blazek beat Melisek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Melisek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blazek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelisek 1.67 / Blazek 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Melisek)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13183649
Melisek1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 40 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it83% 24 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it79% 33 of 42
Blazek2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 52 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back21% 16 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelisek7wins
AwayBlazek3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMelisek leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelisek77.8%7 of 9
AwayBlazekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melisek9Blazek1n = 10Melisek took 9 of 10
S2Melisek4Blazek6n = 10Blazek took 6 of 10
S3Melisek8Blazek2n = 10Melisek took 8 of 10
S4Melisek3Blazek4n = 7Blazek took 4 of 7
S5Melisek2Blazek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelisekBlazekM − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match40.029.9+10.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelisekBlazekBasisWin rate · lifetime224 / 464 vs 168 / 38448.3%43.8%224 / 464 vs 168 / 384Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelisekMelisek 1.67/Blazek 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Melisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Melisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 10:00M. Melisek4111791132J. Blazek45511117113
WSep 17 · 14:30M. Melisek43111110113J. Blazek27571231
WSep 9 · 12:29M. Melisek4111811113J. Blazek24211471
WSep 9 · 11:30M. Melisek331111113J. Blazek169250
LSep 8 · 16:00M. Melisek48118111352J. Blazek48711415113
WAug 28 · 11:15M. Melisek50119118113J. Blazek3411161152
LAug 5 · 15:30M. Melisek358611101J. Blazek3511111123
WJul 30 · 09:30M. Melisek43115115113J. Blazek4151171172
WJul 15 · 16:33M. Melisek331111113J. Blazek125160
WJul 15 · 14:30M. Melisek331111113J. Blazek178540
M. Melisek10
WSep 23 · 12:00M. Melisek1.3611116113D. Sabuka3.00761161WSep 23 · 10:30R. Slunecko1.57711871M. Melisek2.2511811113LSep 23 · 10:00J. Blazek2.25511117113M. Melisek1.5711791132WSep 21 · 16:58M. Melisek2.501111113K. Polak1.503890LSep 21 · 16:00K. Polak1.611114123M. Melisek2.20512100WSep 21 · 15:00P. Fiser1.915440M. Melisek1.801111113LSep 21 · 13:30E. Ondracek1.611111113M. Melisek2.208860WSep 19 · 16:39M. Melisek1.401111103J. Seeman2.758860WSep 19 · 16:00M. Melisek1.83811611113L. Krutina1.8311211682LSep 19 · 14:30J. Seeman3.2511118113M. Melisek1.33291171
J. Blazek10
WSep 23 · 11:30R. Slunecko1.44111281152J. Blazek2.635101113113WSep 23 · 11:00J. Blazek1.801213113D. Sabuka1.91101180WSep 23 · 10:00J. Blazek2.25511117113M. Melisek1.5711791132LSep 17 · 16:39K. Polak1.73111111113J. Blazek2.00981381LSep 17 · 15:30J. Blazek2.506650E. Ondracek1.501111113LSep 17 · 14:30J. Blazek2.20571231M. Melisek1.61111110113WSep 17 · 13:30J. Blazek2.251111113K. Polak1.579960WSep 15 · 13:08J. Jnr1.739990J. Blazek2.001111113LSep 15 · 11:30P. Moulis1.911481116113J. Blazek1.80161181492WSep 15 · 11:00J. Blazek2.25811912113J. Jnr1.57117111072
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