TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Richard Skacelik vs Vladimir Adamczyk 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Richard Skacelik
Home
1.41
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1199119111113––
Vladimir Adamczyk
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:01 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeVladimir Adamczyk to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRichard Skacelik above · Vladimir Adamczyk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 84 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Vladimir Adamczyk at 55.4%
84 points played in total.
H2H Richard Skacelik 2–0 Vladimir Adamczyk Vladimir Adamczyk has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Skacelik beat Adamczyk 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:01What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (64%)
Skacelik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skacelik 1621 vs Adamczyk 1612
Skacelik
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skacelik 60% vs Adamczyk 80%
Adamczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skacelik 50% vs Adamczyk 70%
Adamczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skacelik -1 · Adamczyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Skacelik) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamczyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkacelik 1.41 / Adamczyk 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Skacelik)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13183631
Skacelik1.41
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite57% won 62 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it69% 44 of 64
Adamczyk2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 23 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back34% 12 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSkacelik2wins
AwayAdamczyk0wins
Skacelik leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSkacelikAdamczykS − ABasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match39.030.0+9.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkacelikAdamczykBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 471 vs 113 / 20348.2%55.7%227 / 471 vs 113 / 203Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkacelikSkacelik 1.41/Adamczyk 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.9%
Skacelik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Adamczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 23 · 11:30R. Skacelik45121111113V. Adamczyk381061391
WJun 22 · 10:30R. Skacelik331111113V. Adamczyk228770
R. Skacelik10
LSep 23 · 12:00R. Skacelik1.8011961122M. Heczko1.91811119113WSep 23 · 11:30V. Adamczyk2.631061391R. Skacelik1.44121111113WSep 23 · 10:00R. Skacelik1.6711119113P. Danko2.10681191LSep 20 · 13:30J. Simecek1.5241111123R. Skacelik2.351176101WSep 20 · 12:30R. Skacelik1.501111113J. Levicky2.404870LSep 20 · 11:00R. Skacelik1.807470D. Langer1.901111113WSep 20 · 10:00J. Simecek1.44911321R. Skacelik2.6311511113LSep 20 · 09:29R. Vavrecka2.2041111143R. Skacelik1.611157121LSep 20 · 08:00J. Schwan1.8311811123R. Skacelik1.837118101WSep 20 · 07:00J. Levicky2.5012480R. Skacelik1.501411113
V. Adamczyk10
WSep 23 · 12:30P. Danko1.61314661V. Adamczyk2.20111211113LSep 23 · 11:30V. Adamczyk2.631061391R. Skacelik1.44121111113WSep 23 · 10:30M. Heczko2.3812411121V. Adamczyk1.5314119143WSep 23 · 09:30J. Mikula1.8361115592V. Adamczyk1.831171311113WSep 23 · 08:30M. Heczko2.008580V. Adamczyk1.731111113LSep 23 · 07:30V. Adamczyk1.8375111192J. Mikula1.83111199113WSep 23 · 06:30D. Oborny1.83119111102V. Adamczyk1.83511911123WSep 17 · 21:30V. Cerny1.7311661192V. Adamczyk2.00911116113LSep 17 · 20:30V. Adamczyk1.73611891V. Cerny2.0011511113WSep 17 · 19:00V. Adamczyk1.9111136133D. Oborny1.8081111111
Upcoming Matches
R. Skacelik
Nothing scheduled
V. Adamczyk
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