TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Marcel Heczko vs Vladimir Adamczyk 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Marcel Heczko
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12144111191214––
Vladimir Adamczyk
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:25 and never touched — 62.3% is still 62.3%
Graded at full timeVladimir Adamczyk to win
62.3%
62.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarcel Heczko above · Vladimir Adamczyk below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 87 set 4, 12-14 — our read held Vladimir Adamczyk at 62.3%
87 points played in total.
H2H Marcel Heczko 3–10 Vladimir Adamczyk Marcel Heczko has won 3 of their 13 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Adamczyk beat Heczko 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:25What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Adamczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-10 in 13
Adamczyk
Correct
gap of 7 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heczko 1581 vs Adamczyk 1612
Adamczyk
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heczko 60% vs Adamczyk 80%
Adamczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heczko 50% vs Adamczyk 80%
Adamczyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Heczko +1 · Adamczyk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Adamczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamczyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 2.38 / Adamczyk 1.53
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Adamczyk)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13177489
Heczko2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 64 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back21% 19 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 48
Adamczyk1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 56 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it86% 47 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHeczko3wins
AwayAdamczyk7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderAdamczyk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeczko75%3 of 4
AwayAdamczyk100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heczko4Adamczyk6n = 10Adamczyk took 6 of 10
S2Heczko5Adamczyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Heczko4Adamczyk6n = 10Adamczyk took 6 of 10
S4Heczko3Adamczyk3n = 6split evenly
S5Heczko0Adamczyk3n = 3Adamczyk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHeczkoAdamczykH − ABasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.739.8−4.1per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoAdamczykBasisWin rate · lifetime290 / 593 vs 112 / 20148.9%55.7%290 / 593 vs 112 / 201Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamczykHeczko 2.38/Adamczyk 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.2%
Adamczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Adamczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 10:30M. Heczko3912411121V. Adamczyk4814119143
LSep 23 · 08:30M. Heczko218580V. Adamczyk331111113
WSep 13 · 19:30M. Heczko3811115113V. Adamczyk33981151
LSep 11 · 10:00M. Heczko4991314582V. Adamczyk5611111211113
LAug 19 · 19:30M. Heczko4061113642V. Adamczyk491151111113
LAug 15 · 18:00M. Heczko199370V. Adamczyk331111113
LJun 8 · 20:58M. Heczko47118711102V. Adamczyk42311115123
WJun 8 · 18:30M. Heczko401613113V. Adamczyk30141150
LJun 5 · 19:00M. Heczko229940V. Adamczyk331111113
WMay 23 · 20:30M. Heczko4211146113V. Adamczyk419121191
M. Heczko10
WSep 23 · 11:00P. Danko1.53119671M. Heczko2.3871111113WSep 23 · 08:58M. Heczko2.10911112113D. Oborny1.6711861152LSep 23 · 08:30M. Heczko2.008580V. Adamczyk1.731111113WSep 23 · 07:00M. Heczko1.9114615113D. Oborny1.8012111391LSep 23 · 06:00J. Mikula1.8311137113M. Heczko1.838111141WSep 20 · 09:30M. Heczko1.521111113A. Rinka2.359760WSep 20 · 08:30M. Heczko1.61111199113D. Machander2.2079111192LSep 20 · 07:00M. Heczko2.0061161182D. Oborny1.73117119113WSep 20 · 06:00A. Rinka2.209650M. Heczko1.611111113LSep 16 · 13:04R. Vavrecka1.8041511113M. Heczko1.911113661
V. Adamczyk10
LSep 23 · 11:30V. Adamczyk2.631061391R. Skacelik1.44121111113WSep 23 · 09:30J. Mikula1.8361115592V. Adamczyk1.831171311113WSep 23 · 08:30M. Heczko2.008580V. Adamczyk1.731111113LSep 23 · 07:30V. Adamczyk1.8375111192J. Mikula1.83111199113WSep 23 · 06:30D. Oborny1.83119111102V. Adamczyk1.83511911123WSep 17 · 21:30V. Cerny1.7311661192V. Adamczyk2.00911116113LSep 17 · 20:30V. Adamczyk1.73611891V. Cerny2.0011511113WSep 17 · 19:00V. Adamczyk1.9111136133D. Oborny1.8081111111WSep 17 · 18:00V. Zidek1.8097111192V. Adamczyk1.91111157113WSep 13 · 21:00V. Adamczyk1.671111117113R. Vavrecka2.1013981162
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