TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Richard Skacelik vs Petr Danko 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Richard Skacelik
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116118911119––
Petr Danko
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:42 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeRichard Skacelik to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRichard Skacelik above · Petr Danko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 76 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Richard Skacelik at 54.1%
76 points played in total.
H2H Richard Skacelik 9–4 Petr Danko Petr Danko has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:42What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Skacelik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-4 in 13
Skacelik
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skacelik 1610 vs Danko 1599
Skacelik
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skacelik 40% vs Danko 60%
Danko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skacelik 40% vs Danko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skacelik -1 · Danko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Skacelik) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Danko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkacelik 1.67 / Danko 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Skacelik)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13176612
Skacelik1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 20)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 62 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it69% 44 of 64
Danko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 22)
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog45% won 23 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back36% 11 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back12% 2 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkacelik6wins
AwayDanko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSkacelik leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkacelik66.7%4 of 6
AwayDanko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skacelik6Danko4n = 10Skacelik took 6 of 10
S2Skacelik5Danko5n = 10split evenly
S3Skacelik5Danko5n = 10split evenly
S4Skacelik3Danko3n = 6split evenly
S5Skacelik2Danko1n = 3Skacelik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkacelikDankoS − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.735.7+3.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkacelikDankoBasisWin rate · lifetime225 / 468 vs 112 / 22148.1%50.7%225 / 468 vs 112 / 221Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkacelikSkacelik 1.67/Danko 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.4%
Skacelik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skacelik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 06:00R. Skacelik361111143P. Danko2558120
LAug 19 · 11:30R. Skacelik28610120P. Danko371112143
LMar 27 · 10:00R. Skacelik421199131P. Danko4031111153
WMar 27 · 07:00R. Skacelik4011117113P. Danko30751171
WMar 24 · 18:07R. Skacelik42111118113P. Danko3711461152
WMar 24 · 15:00R. Skacelik331111113P. Danko185580
WMar 23 · 07:30R. Skacelik57920116113P. Danko49111861132
LMar 20 · 09:30R. Skacelik4811981642P. Danko558111114113
WMar 18 · 14:00R. Skacelik4411814113P. Danko333111271
LMar 18 · 12:30R. Skacelik174850P. Danko331111113
R. Skacelik10
WSep 23 · 11:30V. Adamczyk2.631061391R. Skacelik1.44121111113LSep 20 · 13:30J. Simecek1.5241111123R. Skacelik2.351176101WSep 20 · 12:30R. Skacelik1.501111113J. Levicky2.404870LSep 20 · 11:00R. Skacelik1.807470D. Langer1.901111113WSep 20 · 10:00J. Simecek1.44911321R. Skacelik2.6311511113LSep 20 · 09:29R. Vavrecka2.2041111143R. Skacelik1.611157121LSep 20 · 08:00J. Schwan1.8311811123R. Skacelik1.837118101WSep 20 · 07:00J. Levicky2.5012480R. Skacelik1.501411113WSep 20 · 06:30R. Skacelik1.67111184113R. Vavrecka2.1037111182LSep 18 · 08:58R. Skacelik1.7321270D. Heczko2.001114113
P. Danko10
LSep 23 · 11:00P. Danko1.53119671M. Heczko2.3871111113LSep 22 · 09:30A. Rinka1.851113113P. Danko1.8591180WSep 22 · 08:00S. Byrtus1.3311941282P. Danko3.253111110113LSep 22 · 07:00A. Rinka2.00116811113P. Danko1.7391111852WSep 22 · 06:30P. Danko1.571111113D. Machander2.256890WSep 16 · 08:59S. Kysely1.57111110662P. Danko2.25791211113LSep 16 · 08:30P. Danko1.73101520S. Kysely2.001217113LSep 16 · 07:00P. Danko1.4091060J. Levicky2.751112113LSep 16 · 06:00R. Skacelik1.831111143P. Danko1.8358120WSep 8 · 09:29P. Danko1.3681111113J. Levicky3.00119691
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P. Danko
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