TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Richard Skacelik
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711411711––––
Daniel Langer
Away
1.90
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:31 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeDaniel Langer to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRichard Skacelik above · Daniel Langer below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 51 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Daniel Langer at 55.8%
51 points played in total.
H2H Richard Skacelik 3–1 Daniel Langer Daniel Langer has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:31What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Skacelik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Skacelik
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skacelik 1611 vs Langer 1641
Langer
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skacelik 60% vs Langer 40%
Skacelik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skacelik 50% vs Langer 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skacelik +1 · Langer -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Langer) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Langer form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkacelik 1.80 / Langer 1.90
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Langer)+5.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13163117
Skacelik1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 61 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it69% 43 of 62
Langer1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 15 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back32% 6 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSkacelik3wins
AwayLanger1wins
2 of 4 to a deciderSkacelik leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkacelikn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayLanger33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skacelik1Langer3n = 4Langer took 3 of 4
S2Skacelik4Langer0n = 4Skacelik took 4 of 4
S3Skacelik2Langer2n = 4split evenly
S4Skacelik3Langer0n = 3Skacelik took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSkacelikLangerS − LBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match42.236.2+6.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkacelikLangerBasisWin rate · lifetime224 / 465 vs 109 / 16448.2%66.5%224 / 465 vs 109 / 164Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match39.839.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LangerSkacelik 1.80/Langer 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Langer · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Langer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 12 · 18:00R. Skacelik331111113D. Langer259880
WSep 6 · 17:29R. Skacelik561411911113D. Langer5016711972
LSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik3941171162D. Langer44115116113
WAug 29 · 14:30R. Skacelik4181111113D. Langer26118431
R. Skacelik10
WSep 20 · 10:00J. Simecek1.44911321R. Skacelik2.6311511113LSep 20 · 09:29R. Vavrecka2.2041111143R. Skacelik1.611157121LSep 20 · 08:00J. Schwan1.8311811123R. Skacelik1.837118101WSep 20 · 07:00J. Levicky2.5012480R. Skacelik1.501411113WSep 20 · 06:30R. Skacelik1.67111184113R. Vavrecka2.1037111182LSep 18 · 08:58R. Skacelik1.7321270D. Heczko2.001114113LSep 18 · 08:00R. Skacelik1.6710114131D. Heczko2.1012611153WSep 18 · 07:30J. Levicky2.5011851152R. Skacelik1.50711118113LSep 18 · 06:00R. Skacelik1.5312711892S. Byrtus2.381011211113WSep 17 · 17:01R. Skacelik2.00139811113J. Schwan1.73111111872
D. Langer10
LSep 20 · 10:30D. Langer1.61711651J. Levicky2.2011311113WSep 19 · 09:00D. Langer1.6711611113S. Byrtus2.10811771LSep 19 · 08:00J. Simecek1.61141256113D. Langer2.201210111142LSep 19 · 07:00A. Walek2.0061111113D. Langer1.73117981WSep 19 · 06:30D. Langer1.8381111173S. Byrtus1.831179151WSep 12 · 21:06D. Heczko2.20811761D. Langer1.6111811113LSep 12 · 20:00D. Langer1.57114761D. Machander2.2581111113WSep 12 · 19:30D. Heczko2.389118111D. Langer1.5311611133LSep 12 · 18:00D. Langer1.839880R. Skacelik1.831111113WSep 11 · 21:30D. Langer1.63811117113J. Schwan2.1511861182
Upcoming Matches
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D. Langer
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