TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Richard Skacelik
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114118117––––
Jakub Levicky
Away
2.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:38 and never touched — 61.8% is still 61.8%
Graded at full timeRichard Skacelik to win
61.8%
61.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRichard Skacelik above · Jakub Levicky below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 52 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Richard Skacelik at 61.8%
52 points played in total.
H2H Richard Skacelik 5–1 Jakub Levicky Jakub Levicky has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Skacelik beat Levicky 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:38What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Skacelik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Skacelik
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skacelik 1599 vs Levicky 1548
Skacelik
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skacelik 40% vs Levicky 20%
Skacelik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skacelik 40% vs Levicky 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skacelik -1 · Levicky -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Skacelik) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levicky form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkacelik 1.50 / Levicky 2.40
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Skacelik)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13162484
Skacelik1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 61 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it69% 43 of 62
Levicky2.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 59 of 144
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSkacelik5wins
AwayLevicky1wins
1 of 6 to a deciderSkacelik leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkacelik100%3 of 3
AwayLevicky33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skacelik3Levicky3n = 6split evenly
S2Skacelik5Levicky1n = 6Skacelik took 5 of 6
S3Skacelik4Levicky2n = 6Skacelik took 4 of 6
S4Skacelik3Levicky2n = 5Skacelik took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home350%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricSkacelikLevickyS − LBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match40.232.5+7.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkacelikLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime224 / 466 vs 445 / 88348.1%50.4%224 / 466 vs 445 / 883Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkacelikSkacelik 1.50/Levicky 2.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.1%
Skacelik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Skacelik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 20 · 07:00R. Skacelik361411113J. Levicky2412480
WSep 18 · 07:30R. Skacelik48711118113J. Levicky4011851152
WSep 16 · 09:28R. Skacelik4013115113J. Levicky351161171
LSep 16 · 08:00R. Skacelik35811791J. Levicky3911611113
WSep 6 · 15:30R. Skacelik3961111113J. Levicky30115861
WApr 7 · 18:00R. Skacelik43111011113J. Levicky27312661
R. Skacelik10
LSep 20 · 13:30J. Simecek1.5241111123R. Skacelik2.351176101LSep 20 · 11:00R. Skacelik1.807470D. Langer1.901111113WSep 20 · 10:00J. Simecek1.44911321R. Skacelik2.6311511113LSep 20 · 09:29R. Vavrecka2.2041111143R. Skacelik1.611157121LSep 20 · 08:00J. Schwan1.8311811123R. Skacelik1.837118101WSep 20 · 07:00J. Levicky2.5012480R. Skacelik1.501411113WSep 20 · 06:30R. Skacelik1.67111184113R. Vavrecka2.1037111182LSep 18 · 08:58R. Skacelik1.7321270D. Heczko2.001114113LSep 18 · 08:00R. Skacelik1.6710114131D. Heczko2.1012611153WSep 18 · 07:30J. Levicky2.5011851152R. Skacelik1.50711118113
J. Levicky10
LSep 20 · 13:00D. Langer2.63811811113J. Levicky1.4411511262LSep 20 · 11:30J. Levicky2.38115781J. Simecek1.5351111113WSep 20 · 10:30D. Langer1.61711651J. Levicky2.2011311113LSep 20 · 08:58J. Schwan1.441111113J. Levicky2.634830LSep 20 · 08:30J. Levicky1.9111311682R. Vavrecka1.80911511113LSep 20 · 07:00J. Levicky2.5012480R. Skacelik1.501411113LSep 20 · 06:00J. Schwan1.50611812113J. Levicky2.50119111012WSep 18 · 20:59J. Levicky2.001111113D. Machander1.739640WSep 18 · 20:00D. Machander1.57791281J. Levicky2.25111110113LSep 18 · 07:30J. Levicky2.5011851152R. Skacelik1.50711118113
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