TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Jakub Levicky
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115511711811––
Jakub Simecek
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:37 and never touched — 64.3% is still 64.3%
Graded at full timeJakub Simecek to win
64.3%
64.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Levicky above · Jakub Simecek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 69 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jakub Simecek at 64.3%
69 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Levicky 4–8 Jakub Simecek Jakub Levicky has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:37What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Simecek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-8 in 12
Simecek
Correct
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levicky 1558 vs Simecek 1605
Simecek
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levicky 20% vs Simecek 60%
Simecek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levicky 30% vs Simecek 50%
Simecek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Levicky +1 · Simecek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Simecek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levicky form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevicky 2.38 / Simecek 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Simecek)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13160406
Levicky2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 59 of 144
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Simecek1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 71 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it88% 37 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it69% 47 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLevicky4wins
AwaySimecek6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSimecek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevicky66.7%2 of 3
AwaySimecek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levicky3Simecek7n = 10Simecek took 7 of 10
S2Levicky4Simecek6n = 10Simecek took 6 of 10
S3Levicky7Simecek3n = 10Levicky took 7 of 10
S4Levicky4Simecek5n = 9Simecek took 5 of 9
S5Levicky2Simecek3n = 5Simecek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLevickySimecekL − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.343.7−3.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevickySimecekBasisWin rate · lifetime445 / 882 vs 146 / 27550.5%53.1%445 / 882 vs 146 / 275Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SimecekLevicky 2.38/Simecek 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.3%
Simecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Simecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LApr 16 · 20:58J. Levicky50111511942J. Simecek52717611113
WApr 16 · 20:00J. Levicky4311812123J. Simecek3871110101
LApr 15 · 18:30J. Levicky3557111112J. Simecek49111179113
WApr 2 · 09:30J. Levicky48611118123J. Simecek48118811102
WApr 2 · 07:00J. Levicky48911116113J. Simecek4111771152
LMar 6 · 13:00J. Levicky2999110J. Simecek351111133
LMar 5 · 19:00J. Levicky28612731J. Simecek43111011113
WDec 7 · 22:01J. Levicky4011711113J. Simecek33811591
LDec 7 · 20:00J. Levicky31571271J. Simecek43111110113
LOct 29 · 13:00J. Levicky511011111272J. Simecek551291310113
J. Levicky10
WSep 20 · 10:30D. Langer1.61711651J. Levicky2.2011311113LSep 20 · 08:58J. Schwan1.441111113J. Levicky2.634830LSep 20 · 08:30J. Levicky1.9111311682R. Vavrecka1.80911511113LSep 20 · 07:00J. Levicky2.5012480R. Skacelik1.501411113LSep 20 · 06:00J. Schwan1.50611812113J. Levicky2.50119111012WSep 18 · 20:59J. Levicky2.001111113D. Machander1.739640WSep 18 · 20:00D. Machander1.57791281J. Levicky2.25111110113LSep 18 · 19:00D. Oborny2.001112113J. Levicky1.7331070LSep 18 · 18:30J. Levicky1.8391111552R. Vavrecka1.83116811113LSep 18 · 09:29J. Levicky1.91413491S. Byrtus1.80111111113
J. Simecek10
WSep 20 · 12:00J. Simecek1.731112113D. Langer2.0091090LSep 20 · 10:00J. Simecek1.44911321R. Skacelik2.6311511113WSep 19 · 09:30A. Walek1.90111171192J. Simecek1.80913117113WSep 19 · 08:00J. Simecek1.61141256113D. Langer2.201210111142LSep 19 · 07:30S. Byrtus2.631112133J. Simecek1.44810110WSep 19 · 06:00J. Simecek1.8011812113A. Walek1.919111071WSep 3 · 16:58D. Unzeitig1.91121181342J. Simecek1.801421111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Simecek1.80111013101D. Unzeitig1.9191215123LSep 3 · 15:00J. Simecek2.3898110T. Kypr1.531111133LSep 3 · 14:00M. Bereiter1.7391115113J. Simecek2.001191391
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