TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Jakub Simecek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191210119––––
Daniel Langer
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Simecek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Simecek above · Daniel Langer below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 62 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Jakub Simecek at 54.0%
62 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Simecek 1–0 Daniel Langer Daniel Langer has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 15:08What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Simecek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Simecek 1615 vs Langer 1654
Langer
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Simecek 60% vs Langer 40%
Simecek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Simecek 50% vs Langer 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Simecek +1 · Langer +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Simecek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSimecek 1.73 / Langer 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Simecek)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13160053
Simecek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 71 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it88% 37 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it69% 47 of 68
Langer2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 15 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back32% 6 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSimecek1wins
AwayLanger0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSimecek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSimecekLangerS − LBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match48.048.00.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSimecekLangerBasisWin rate · lifetime147 / 276 vs 110 / 16553.3%66.7%147 / 276 vs 110 / 165Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LangerSimecek 1.73/Langer 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Simecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Simecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 19 · 08:00J. Simecek48141256113D. Langer481210111142
J. Simecek10
WSep 20 · 11:30J. Levicky2.38115781J. Simecek1.5351111113LSep 20 · 10:00J. Simecek1.44911321R. Skacelik2.6311511113WSep 19 · 09:30A. Walek1.90111171192J. Simecek1.80913117113WSep 19 · 08:00J. Simecek1.61141256113D. Langer2.201210111142LSep 19 · 07:30S. Byrtus2.631112133J. Simecek1.44810110WSep 19 · 06:00J. Simecek1.8011812113A. Walek1.919111071WSep 3 · 16:58D. Unzeitig1.91121181342J. Simecek1.801421111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Simecek1.80111013101D. Unzeitig1.9191215123LSep 3 · 15:00J. Simecek2.3898110T. Kypr1.531111133LSep 3 · 14:00M. Bereiter1.7391115113J. Simecek2.001191391
D. Langer10
WSep 20 · 11:00R. Skacelik1.807470D. Langer1.901111113LSep 20 · 10:30D. Langer1.61711651J. Levicky2.2011311113WSep 19 · 09:00D. Langer1.6711611113S. Byrtus2.10811771LSep 19 · 08:00J. Simecek1.61141256113D. Langer2.201210111142LSep 19 · 07:00A. Walek2.0061111113D. Langer1.73117981WSep 19 · 06:30D. Langer1.8381111173S. Byrtus1.831179151WSep 12 · 21:06D. Heczko2.20811761D. Langer1.6111811113LSep 12 · 20:00D. Langer1.57114761D. Machander2.2581111113WSep 12 · 19:30D. Heczko2.389118111D. Langer1.5311611133LSep 12 · 18:00D. Langer1.839880R. Skacelik1.831111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Simecek
D. Langer
Nothing scheduled
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