TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Martin Sulc vs Ondrej Fiklik 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Martin Sulc
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111181210117––
Ondrej Fiklik
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:10 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeOndrej Fiklik to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Sulc above · Ondrej Fiklik below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 77 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Ondrej Fiklik at 56.3%
77 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sulc 17–21 Ondrej Fiklik Martin Sulc has won 17 of their 38 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:10What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Fiklik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-21 in 38
Fiklik
Wrong
gap of 4 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulc 1566 vs Fiklik 1577
Fiklik
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulc 40% vs Fiklik 80%
Fiklik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulc 70% vs Fiklik 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulc +1 · Fiklik +3
Fiklik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Fiklik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fiklik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulc 2.10 / Fiklik 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Fiklik)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13182932
Sulc2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 73 of 170
Down 0–1, comes back30% 29 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 54
Fiklik1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 86 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it91% 38 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it72% 57 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulc3wins
AwayFiklik7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderFiklik leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulc50%2 of 4
AwayFiklik83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulc4Fiklik6n = 10Fiklik took 6 of 10
S2Sulc4Fiklik6n = 10Fiklik took 6 of 10
S3Sulc4Fiklik6n = 10Fiklik took 6 of 10
S4Sulc1Fiklik5n = 6Fiklik took 5 of 6
S5Sulc2Fiklik2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulcFiklikS − FBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.038.5−2.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulcFiklikBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 645 vs 558 / 121650.4%45.9%325 / 645 vs 558 / 1216Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FiklikSulc 2.10/Fiklik 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Fiklik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sulc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 15:50M. Sulc32117861O. Fiklik4181111113
WSep 20 · 12:50M. Sulc351211123O. Fiklik28108100
LSep 9 · 21:20M. Sulc4671111982O. Fiklik41114411113
WSep 9 · 20:20M. Sulc47811116113O. Fiklik3611271152
LSep 2 · 20:20M. Sulc2510780O. Fiklik341211113
LAug 9 · 13:25M. Sulc31912731O. Fiklik43111011113
LAug 8 · 15:55M. Sulc2381140O. Fiklik351113113
WJul 31 · 14:50M. Sulc51119119113O. Fiklik4591191152
LJul 24 · 07:55M. Sulc248880O. Fiklik331111113
LJun 28 · 19:50M. Sulc4611961192O. Fiklik49711119113
M. Sulc10
WSep 23 · 21:59M. Sulc2.151111109113A. Rek1.6378121152WSep 23 · 19:55A. Rek1.53143111192M. Sulc2.38161199113LSep 23 · 19:25J. Hrncir1.831211113M. Sulc1.8310770WSep 20 · 17:35M. Sulc3.00913116123J. Vonasek1.361111911102LSep 20 · 16:50P. Rissky2.10711135113M. Sulc1.67112111122LSep 20 · 15:50M. Sulc2.10117861O. Fiklik1.6781111113WSep 20 · 14:20J. Vonasek1.536510M. Sulc2.381111113WSep 20 · 13:59M. Sulc1.6771311113P. Rissky2.101111611WSep 20 · 12:50M. Sulc2.101211123O. Fiklik1.67108100WSep 20 · 11:20A. Langer2.00811691M. Sulc1.7311311113
O. Fiklik10
WSep 23 · 22:23O. Fiklik1.671771111113J. Hrncir2.07151161352WSep 23 · 20:25O. Fiklik1.671112143J. Hrncir2.10810120WSep 23 · 18:55A. Rek1.5777111192O. Fiklik2.25111159113WSep 21 · 10:15O. Fiklik1.73119118113A. Langer2.0081171182LSep 21 · 09:25O. Fiklik1.73114113102J. Vonasek2.00611811123WSep 21 · 07:55A. Langer1.91113771O. Fiklik1.8061111113LSep 21 · 07:25D. Sochor2.6313811113O. Fiklik1.441111991WSep 20 · 18:05O. Fiklik1.911211133P. Rissky1.80106110WSep 20 · 15:50M. Sulc2.10117861O. Fiklik1.6781111113LSep 20 · 12:50M. Sulc2.101211123O. Fiklik1.67108100
Upcoming Matches
M. Sulc
Nothing scheduled
O. Fiklik
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