TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Ales Langer
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116311711711––
Ondrej Fiklik
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Fiklik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAles Langer above · Ondrej Fiklik below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 67 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Ondrej Fiklik at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Ales Langer 14–20 Ondrej Fiklik Ales Langer has won 14 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:05What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Fiklik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-20 in 34
Fiklik
Correct
gap of 6 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Langer 1495 vs Fiklik 1559
Fiklik
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Langer 40% vs Fiklik 80%
Fiklik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Langer 40% vs Fiklik 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Langer +1 · Fiklik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fiklik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fiklik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 1.91 / Fiklik 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Fiklik)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13166635
Langer1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 66 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back27% 23 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 41
Fiklik1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 85 of 157
Up 2–0, closes it91% 38 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it73% 56 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLanger4wins
AwayFiklik6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderFiklik leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLanger60%3 of 5
AwayFiklik80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Langer5Fiklik5n = 10split evenly
S2Langer4Fiklik6n = 10Fiklik took 6 of 10
S3Langer4Fiklik6n = 10Fiklik took 6 of 10
S4Langer5Fiklik2n = 7Langer took 5 of 7
S5Langer2Fiklik4n = 6Fiklik took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLangerFiklikL − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.741.0+0.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerFiklikBasisWin rate · lifetime263 / 543 vs 560 / 121848.4%46%263 / 543 vs 560 / 1218Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FiklikLanger 1.91/Fiklik 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Fiklik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fiklik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 13:30A. Langer259880O. Fiklik331111113
WSep 20 · 10:20A. Langer48111349113O. Fiklik47811111162
LSep 18 · 09:25A. Langer4481161182O. Fiklik47116118113
LSep 17 · 06:55A. Langer473121111102O. Fiklik52111496123
LSep 14 · 10:20A. Langer51119111192O. Fiklik48511138113
WSep 4 · 13:29A. Langer496111011113O. Fiklik4911912982
WSep 4 · 12:20A. Langer4011711113O. Fiklik28911531
LSep 1 · 14:05A. Langer48111111692O. Fiklik48713611113
LSep 1 · 10:55A. Langer3191390O. Fiklik371115113
WAug 15 · 14:55A. Langer341111123O. Fiklik2174100
A. Langer10
LSep 21 · 08:55A. Langer1.50105100D. Sochor2.501211123WSep 21 · 06:55A. Langer2.5011119113J. Vonasek1.50471191LSep 20 · 13:30A. Langer1.859880O. Fiklik1.851111113LSep 20 · 12:20A. Langer2.2088111162P. Rissky1.61111188113LSep 20 · 11:20A. Langer2.00811691M. Sulc1.7311311113WSep 20 · 10:20A. Langer1.83111349113O. Fiklik1.83811111162WSep 18 · 10:09V. Jr1.831111581A. Langer1.8313611113LSep 18 · 09:25O. Fiklik1.83116118113A. Langer1.8381161182LSep 18 · 08:25A. Langer2.38651151J. Vonasek1.5311113113LSep 18 · 06:55V. Jr1.831171011113A. Langer1.8381112882
O. Fiklik10
LSep 21 · 07:25D. Sochor2.6313811113O. Fiklik1.441111991WSep 20 · 18:05O. Fiklik1.911211133P. Rissky1.80106110LSep 20 · 16:20J. Vonasek2.0011115113O. Fiklik1.73991191WSep 20 · 15:50M. Sulc2.10117861O. Fiklik1.6781111113WSep 20 · 14:50O. Fiklik1.801112113P. Rissky1.9191090WSep 20 · 13:30A. Langer1.859880O. Fiklik1.851111113LSep 20 · 12:50M. Sulc2.101211123O. Fiklik1.67108100LSep 20 · 11:50O. Fiklik1.731011101192P. Rissky2.00129128113LSep 20 · 10:20A. Langer1.83111349113O. Fiklik1.83811111162WSep 18 · 09:25O. Fiklik1.83116118113A. Langer1.8381161182
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