TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Martin Sulc
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101181210––––
Ondrej Fiklik
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:59 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeOndrej Fiklik to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Sulc above · Ondrej Fiklik below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 63 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Ondrej Fiklik at 55.7%
63 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sulc 16–20 Ondrej Fiklik Martin Sulc has won 16 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:59What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Fiklik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-20 in 36
Fiklik
Wrong
gap of 4 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulc 1550 vs Fiklik 1527
Sulc
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulc 40% vs Fiklik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulc 60% vs Fiklik 40%
Sulc
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulc +2 · Fiklik -3
Fiklik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Fiklik) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fiklik form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulc 2.10 / Fiklik 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Fiklik)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13161778
Sulc2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 71 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back29% 28 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 55
Fiklik1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite55% won 83 of 152
Up 2–0, closes it90% 37 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it72% 55 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulc3wins
AwayFiklik7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderFiklik leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulc66.7%2 of 3
AwayFiklik85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulc3Fiklik7n = 10Fiklik took 7 of 10
S2Sulc3Fiklik7n = 10Fiklik took 7 of 10
S3Sulc4Fiklik6n = 10Fiklik took 6 of 10
S4Sulc2Fiklik4n = 6Fiklik took 4 of 6
S5Sulc2Fiklik2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulcFiklikS − FBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.337.6−2.3per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulcFiklikBasisWin rate · lifetime322 / 641 vs 556 / 121250.2%45.9%322 / 641 vs 556 / 1212Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FiklikSulc 2.10/Fiklik 1.67
Miss
What we said
56.2%
Fiklik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sulc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 21:20M. Sulc4671111982O. Fiklik41114411113
WSep 9 · 20:20M. Sulc47811116113O. Fiklik3611271152
LSep 2 · 20:20M. Sulc2510780O. Fiklik341211113
LAug 9 · 13:25M. Sulc31912731O. Fiklik43111011113
LAug 8 · 15:55M. Sulc2381140O. Fiklik351113113
WJul 31 · 14:50M. Sulc51119119113O. Fiklik4591191152
LJul 24 · 07:55M. Sulc248880O. Fiklik331111113
LJun 28 · 19:50M. Sulc4611961192O. Fiklik49711119113
LJun 28 · 07:50M. Sulc175660O. Fiklik331111113
WJun 27 · 19:55M. Sulc43111011113O. Fiklik27212761
M. Sulc10
WSep 20 · 11:20A. Langer2.00811691M. Sulc1.7311311113WSep 20 · 10:50P. Rissky1.83311891M. Sulc1.8311911113LSep 16 · 18:04M. Sulc2.10511591J. Hrncir1.6711811113LSep 16 · 17:25M. Sulc4.0053131192A. Kosacky1.221111117113LSep 16 · 15:55J. Volek2.2581111113M. Sulc1.57118971WSep 16 · 15:25J. Hrncir1.80117961M. Sulc1.9181111113LSep 10 · 18:30M. Sulc1.5711781172M. Sochor2.25911115113WSep 10 · 17:25M. Sulc2.101311113J. Hrncir1.6711680WSep 10 · 15:55J. Volek2.2558111182M. Sulc1.57111145113WSep 10 · 15:25M. Sochor2.0011119252M. Sulc1.73991111113
O. Fiklik10
WSep 20 · 13:30A. Langer1.859880O. Fiklik1.851111113LSep 20 · 11:50O. Fiklik1.731011101192P. Rissky2.00129128113LSep 20 · 10:20A. Langer1.83111349113O. Fiklik1.83811111162LSep 18 · 10:38J. Vonasek2.10111115133O. Fiklik1.673917111WSep 18 · 09:25O. Fiklik1.83116118113A. Langer1.8381161182WSep 18 · 07:55V. Jr2.2011129932O. Fiklik1.617101111113LSep 18 · 07:25J. Vonasek1.911110711213O. Fiklik1.80612117192LSep 17 · 10:38O. Fiklik2.2510960A. Rek1.571211113WSep 17 · 09:25A. Rek1.57111259102O. Fiklik2.259101111123LSep 17 · 08:25O. Fiklik1.73711891P. Moravec2.0011711113
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