TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13143524
Played Sep 17Finished
Ondrej Fiklik
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711117811911––
Petr Moravec
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:15 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeOndrej Fiklik to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Fiklik above · Petr Moravec below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 75 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Ondrej Fiklik at 54.5%
75 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Fiklik 1–0 Petr Moravec Petr Moravec has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:15What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Fiklik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Fiklik 1581 vs Moravec 1484
Fiklik
Wrong
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fiklik 80% vs Moravec 0%
Fiklik
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fiklik 60% vs Moravec 30%
Fiklik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fiklik +2 · Moravec -5
Moravec
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Fiklik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moravec form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFiklik 1.73 / Moravec 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Fiklik)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13143524
Fiklik1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 82 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it90% 36 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it72% 55 of 76
Moravec2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 13 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back25% 5 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeFiklik1wins
AwayMoravec0wins
Fiklik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricFiklikMoravecF − MBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.023.0+10.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFiklikMoravecBasisWin rate · lifetime558 / 1213 vs 109 / 21546%50.7%558 / 1213 vs 109 / 215Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FiklikFiklik 1.73/Moravec 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Fiklik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WMay 8 · 12:25O. Fiklik331111113P. Moravec238870
O. Fiklik10
WSep 17 · 09:25A. Rek1.57111259102O. Fiklik2.259101111123WSep 17 · 06:55A. Langer1.913121111102O. Fiklik1.80111496123WSep 14 · 14:00V. Jr2.2091141192O. Fiklik1.60119114113LSep 14 · 12:50J. Vonasek1.83116611113O. Fiklik1.8371111682WSep 14 · 11:50O. Fiklik1.571171211113V. Jr2.2531114782WSep 14 · 10:20A. Langer1.91119111192O. Fiklik1.80511138113LSep 13 · 22:00O. Fiklik2.6091141182A. Kosacky1.45116118113LSep 13 · 20:50A. Kosacky1.441281310113O. Fiklik2.631011111292WSep 13 · 19:50O. Fiklik2.00611211113V. Skokan1.7311711982WSep 13 · 18:20D. Sykora2.506380O. Fiklik1.501111113
P. Moravec10
LSep 17 · 07:25P. Moravec2.50211751A. Rek1.5011711113LSep 16 · 09:59J. Vonasek1.53971111113P. Moravec2.3811116432LSep 16 · 08:55J. Vonasek1.57101211113P. Moravec2.251210661LSep 16 · 08:25A. Rek1.5711811113P. Moravec2.25711581LSep 16 · 07:25P. Moravec2.1098100V. Jr1.671111123LSep 15 · 13:55P. Moravec1.5011871192A. Kral2.50811117113WSep 15 · 13:25A. Kral2.10611881P. Moravec1.6711511113WSep 15 · 12:25P. Moravec1.57116124113P. Chlumsky2.25711101132LSep 15 · 10:55D. Sochor3.001111113P. Moravec1.367690WSep 8 · 17:55J. Hendrych1.95811981P. Moravec1.7511911113
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