TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Ales Langer
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811811––––
Ondrej Fiklik
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingAles Langer above · Ondrej Fiklik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 58 set 3, 8-11
58 points played in total.
H2H Ales Langer 14–19 Ondrej Fiklik Ales Langer has won 14 of their 33 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Langer beat Fiklik 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fiklik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fiklik form (20%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 1.85 / Fiklik 1.85
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Fiklik)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13164482
Langer1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Fiklik1.85
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLanger5wins
AwayFiklik5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLanger66.7%4 of 6
AwayFiklik75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Langer6Fiklik4n = 10Langer took 6 of 10
S2Langer5Fiklik5n = 10split evenly
S3Langer4Fiklik6n = 10Fiklik took 6 of 10
S4Langer6Fiklik2n = 8Langer took 6 of 8
S5Langer2Fiklik4n = 6Fiklik took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLangerFiklikL − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.540.9+2.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerFiklikBasisWin rate · lifetime262 / 541 vs 556 / 121348.4%45.8%262 / 541 vs 556 / 1213Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FiklikLanger 1.85/Fiklik 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Fiklik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fiklik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 10:20A. Langer48111349113O. Fiklik47811111162
LSep 18 · 09:25A. Langer4481161182O. Fiklik47116118113
LSep 17 · 06:55A. Langer473121111102O. Fiklik52111496123
LSep 14 · 10:20A. Langer51119111192O. Fiklik48511138113
WSep 4 · 13:29A. Langer496111011113O. Fiklik4911912982
WSep 4 · 12:20A. Langer4011711113O. Fiklik28911531
LSep 1 · 14:05A. Langer48111111692O. Fiklik48713611113
LSep 1 · 10:55A. Langer3191390O. Fiklik371115113
WAug 15 · 14:55A. Langer341111123O. Fiklik2174100
WAug 14 · 06:55A. Langer43111110113O. Fiklik32981231
A. Langer10
LSep 20 · 12:20A. Langer2.2088111162P. Rissky1.61111188113LSep 20 · 11:20A. Langer2.00811691M. Sulc1.7311311113WSep 20 · 10:20A. Langer1.83111349113O. Fiklik1.83811111162WSep 18 · 10:09V. Jr1.831111581A. Langer1.8313611113LSep 18 · 09:25O. Fiklik1.83116118113A. Langer1.8381161182LSep 18 · 08:25A. Langer2.38651151J. Vonasek1.5311113113LSep 18 · 06:55V. Jr1.831171011113A. Langer1.8381112882WSep 17 · 10:08A. Langer1.911111113P. Moravec1.804880WSep 17 · 08:55A. Langer1.671311811113P. Moravec2.1015711752LSep 17 · 07:55A. Langer2.38119115102A. Rek1.53811611123
O. Fiklik10
LSep 20 · 12:50M. Sulc2.101211123O. Fiklik1.67108100LSep 20 · 11:50O. Fiklik1.731011101192P. Rissky2.00129128113LSep 20 · 10:20A. Langer1.83111349113O. Fiklik1.83811111162LSep 18 · 10:38J. Vonasek2.10111115133O. Fiklik1.673917111WSep 18 · 09:25O. Fiklik1.83116118113A. Langer1.8381161182WSep 18 · 07:55V. Jr2.2011129932O. Fiklik1.617101111113LSep 18 · 07:25J. Vonasek1.911110711213O. Fiklik1.80612117192LSep 17 · 10:38O. Fiklik2.2510960A. Rek1.571211113WSep 17 · 09:25A. Rek1.57111259102O. Fiklik2.259101111123LSep 17 · 08:25O. Fiklik1.73711891P. Moravec2.0011711113
Upcoming Matches
A. Langer
Nothing scheduled
O. Fiklik
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