TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13153048
Played Sep 18Finished
Vaclav Hejda Jr
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113116511811––
Ales Langer
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingVaclav Hejda Jr above · Ales Langer below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 76 set 4, 8-11
76 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Hejda Jr 58–56 Ales Langer Ales Langer has won 56 of their 114 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Langer form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.83 / Langer 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jr)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13153048
Jr1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Langer1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr6wins
AwayLanger4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr85.7%6 of 7
AwayLanger100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr7Langer3n = 10Jr took 7 of 10
S2Jr6Langer4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S3Jr3Langer7n = 10Langer took 7 of 10
S4Jr5Langer2n = 7Jr took 5 of 7
S5Jr2Langer2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrLangerJ − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.337.5+2.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrLangerBasisWin rate · lifetime387 / 787 vs 260 / 53749.2%48.4%387 / 787 vs 260 / 537Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.83/Langer 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Langer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 06:55V. Jr501171011113A. Langer4781112882
WSep 14 · 12:20V. Jr331111113A. Langer269890
WSep 13 · 17:59V. Jr51119119113A. Langer4481191152
WSep 13 · 15:50V. Jr331111113A. Langer194780
LSep 8 · 13:50V. Jr47513101182A. Langer501111125113
LSep 8 · 11:50V. Jr501011101182A. Langer47128124113
WSep 7 · 10:20V. Jr3911116113A. Langer28641171
LSep 2 · 13:19V. Jr351112391A. Langer4371411113
LSep 2 · 12:20V. Jr197480A. Langer331111113
WSep 1 · 11:55V. Jr46131210113A. Langer3811101251
V. Jr10
LSep 18 · 08:55V. Jr2.207880J. Vonasek1.611111113LSep 18 · 07:55V. Jr2.2011129932O. Fiklik1.617101111113WSep 18 · 06:55V. Jr1.831171011113A. Langer1.8381112882WSep 16 · 10:30A. Rek1.5011781542V. Jr2.459111113113LSep 16 · 09:25V. Jr2.50615331A. Rek1.50111311113WSep 16 · 07:55J. Vonasek1.6111611101V. Jr2.2013117123WSep 16 · 07:25P. Moravec2.1098100V. Jr1.671111123LSep 14 · 14:00V. Jr2.2091141192O. Fiklik1.60119114113WSep 14 · 12:20A. Langer1.809890V. Jr1.911111113LSep 14 · 11:50O. Fiklik1.571171211113V. Jr2.2531114782
A. Langer10
LSep 18 · 09:25O. Fiklik1.83116118113A. Langer1.8381161182LSep 18 · 08:25A. Langer2.38651151J. Vonasek1.5311113113LSep 18 · 06:55V. Jr1.831171011113A. Langer1.8381112882WSep 17 · 10:08A. Langer1.911111113P. Moravec1.804880WSep 17 · 08:55A. Langer1.671311811113P. Moravec2.1015711752LSep 17 · 07:55A. Langer2.38119115102A. Rek1.53811611123LSep 17 · 06:55A. Langer1.913121111102O. Fiklik1.80111496123LSep 14 · 13:30J. Vonasek1.53912911113A. Langer2.38111011752LSep 14 · 12:20A. Langer1.809890V. Jr1.911111113LSep 14 · 11:20A. Langer2.3811970J. Vonasek1.531311113
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