TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Ondrej Fiklik
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101161311––––
Pavel Rissky
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingOndrej Fiklik above · Pavel Rissky below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 63 set 3, 13-11
63 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Fiklik 18–12 Pavel Rissky Pavel Rissky has won 12 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Rissky beat Fiklik 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rissky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rissky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFiklik 1.91 / Rissky 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rissky)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13165946
Fiklik1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 108 of 268
Down 0–1, comes back23% 34 of 151
Down 0–2, comes back13% 12 of 93
Rissky1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 10 of 19
Up 2–0, closes it80% 4 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it80% 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFiklik5wins
AwayRissky5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFiklik75%3 of 4
AwayRissky66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fiklik4Rissky6n = 10Rissky took 6 of 10
S2Fiklik7Rissky3n = 10Fiklik took 7 of 10
S3Fiklik6Rissky4n = 10Fiklik took 6 of 10
S4Fiklik3Rissky4n = 7Rissky took 4 of 7
S5Fiklik1Rissky2n = 3Rissky took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFiklikRisskyF − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.539.0+0.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFiklikRisskyBasisWin rate · lifetime559 / 1217 vs 74 / 17345.9%42.8%559 / 1217 vs 74 / 173Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RisskyFiklik 1.91/Rissky 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Rissky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Fiklik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 14:50O. Fiklik341112113P. Rissky2891090
LSep 20 · 11:50O. Fiklik511011101192P. Rissky52129128113
LAug 8 · 18:40O. Fiklik31951161P. Rissky3811115113
LAug 8 · 15:25O. Fiklik269980P. Rissky331111113
LAug 8 · 12:55O. Fiklik47111011782P. Rissky52912911113
WJul 19 · 16:25O. Fiklik541013119113P. Rissky48121171172
WJul 11 · 14:10O. Fiklik331111113P. Rissky259880
LJul 11 · 13:25O. Fiklik4512119131P. Rissky4814811153
WJun 6 · 08:55O. Fiklik4012116113P. Rissky331051171
WApr 5 · 07:50O. Fiklik3411111113P. Rissky33114991
O. Fiklik10
LSep 20 · 16:20J. Vonasek2.0011115113O. Fiklik1.73991191WSep 20 · 15:50M. Sulc2.10117861O. Fiklik1.6781111113WSep 20 · 14:50O. Fiklik1.801112113P. Rissky1.9191090WSep 20 · 13:30A. Langer1.859880O. Fiklik1.851111113LSep 20 · 12:50M. Sulc2.101211123O. Fiklik1.67108100LSep 20 · 11:50O. Fiklik1.731011101192P. Rissky2.00129128113LSep 20 · 10:20A. Langer1.83111349113O. Fiklik1.83811111162LSep 18 · 10:38J. Vonasek2.10111115133O. Fiklik1.673917111WSep 18 · 09:25O. Fiklik1.83116118113A. Langer1.8381161182WSep 18 · 07:55V. Jr2.2011129932O. Fiklik1.617101111113
P. Rissky10
WSep 20 · 16:50P. Rissky2.10711135113M. Sulc1.67112111122WSep 20 · 15:20J. Vonasek1.6171181152P. Rissky2.20119118113LSep 20 · 14:50O. Fiklik1.801112113P. Rissky1.9191090LSep 20 · 13:59M. Sulc1.6771311113P. Rissky2.101111611WSep 20 · 12:20A. Langer2.2088111162P. Rissky1.61111188113WSep 20 · 11:50O. Fiklik1.731011101192P. Rissky2.00129128113LSep 20 · 10:50P. Rissky1.83311891M. Sulc1.8311911113WAug 8 · 18:40P. Rissky2.0011115113O. Fiklik1.73951161WAug 8 · 16:55M. Sulc1.80611661P. Rissky1.9111411113LAug 8 · 16:25A. Rek1.8311711143P. Rissky1.836118121
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