TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Ales Langer
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10125111012––––
David Sochor
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:25 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeAles Langer to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAles Langer above · David Sochor below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 60 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Ales Langer at 63.7%
60 points played in total.
H2H Ales Langer 10–7 David Sochor David Sochor has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:25What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Langer
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-7 in 17
Langer
Wrong
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Langer 1485 vs Sochor 1391
Langer
Wrong
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Langer 20% vs Sochor 40%
Sochor
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Langer 30% vs Sochor 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Langer -1 · Sochor -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Langer)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Langer form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 1.50 / Sochor 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Langer)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13166637
Langer1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 65 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it72% 47 of 65
Sochor2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 13 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back7% 2 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLanger7wins
AwaySochor3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLanger leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLanger100%6 of 6
AwaySochor75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Langer6Sochor4n = 10Langer took 6 of 10
S2Langer7Sochor3n = 10Langer took 7 of 10
S3Langer7Sochor3n = 10Langer took 7 of 10
S4Langer4Sochor1n = 5Langer took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLangerSochorL − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.030.5+6.5per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerSochorBasisWin rate · lifetime263 / 544 vs 97 / 23748.4%40.9%263 / 544 vs 97 / 237Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LangerLanger 1.50/Sochor 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Langer · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sochor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 14:20A. Langer4011711113D. Sochor32611961
WSep 8 · 10:20A. Langer4311811133D. Sochor315114111
LAug 13 · 14:05A. Langer49911121162D. Sochor51118147113
LAug 13 · 10:55A. Langer2569100D. Sochor341111123
WAug 11 · 14:09A. Langer331111113D. Sochor143470
WAug 11 · 12:55A. Langer351311113D. Sochor2911990
WJul 17 · 10:20A. Langer331111113D. Sochor228770
WJul 12 · 06:20A. Langer4181111113D. Sochor32113991
LJul 2 · 06:55A. Langer388119101D. Sochor4011611123
WJun 30 · 09:25A. Langer331111113D. Sochor203980
A. Langer10
LSep 21 · 07:55A. Langer1.91113771O. Fiklik1.8061111113WSep 21 · 06:55A. Langer2.5011119113J. Vonasek1.50471191LSep 20 · 13:30A. Langer1.859880O. Fiklik1.851111113LSep 20 · 12:20A. Langer2.2088111162P. Rissky1.61111188113LSep 20 · 11:20A. Langer2.00811691M. Sulc1.7311311113WSep 20 · 10:20A. Langer1.83111349113O. Fiklik1.83811111162WSep 18 · 10:09V. Jr1.831111581A. Langer1.8313611113LSep 18 · 09:25O. Fiklik1.83116118113A. Langer1.8381161182LSep 18 · 08:25A. Langer2.38651151J. Vonasek1.5311113113LSep 18 · 06:55V. Jr1.831171011113A. Langer1.8381112882
D. Sochor10
LSep 21 · 08:25J. Vonasek1.9161115113D. Sochor1.801121381WSep 21 · 07:25D. Sochor2.6313811113O. Fiklik1.441111991LSep 15 · 14:24D. Sochor2.10117116102P. Chlumsky1.67611811123LSep 15 · 12:55D. Sochor1.83781181P. Chlumsky1.8311119113WSep 15 · 11:55D. Sochor2.50115711113A. Kral1.5091111892WSep 15 · 10:55D. Sochor3.001111113P. Moravec1.367690WSep 14 · 17:20J. Hendrych1.60118891D. Sochor2.2071111113LSep 14 · 16:50Z. Zahradka1.5011811113D. Sochor2.50811791LSep 14 · 15:50D. Sochor2.1011581182J. Hendrych1.67811118113LSep 14 · 14:20D. Sykora1.4411136153D. Sochor2.6361111131
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