TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Martin Sulc
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
91113111196111210
Jan Vonasek
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMartin Sulc above · Jan Vonasek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 103 set 5, 12-10
103 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sulc 13–42 Jan Vonasek Martin Sulc has won 13 of their 55 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Sulc beat Vonasek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Vonasek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vonasek form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulc 3.00 / Vonasek 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Vonasek)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13165883
Sulc3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 71 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back29% 28 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 55
Vonasek1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 70 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it97% 36 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it82% 49 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulc3wins
AwayVonasek7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVonasek leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulc66.7%2 of 3
AwayVonasek85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulc3Vonasek7n = 10Vonasek took 7 of 10
S2Sulc4Vonasek6n = 10Vonasek took 6 of 10
S3Sulc4Vonasek6n = 10Vonasek took 6 of 10
S4Sulc1Vonasek5n = 6Vonasek took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulcVonasekS − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.935.4−3.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulcVonasekBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 646 vs 357 / 73050.3%48.9%325 / 646 vs 357 / 730Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VonasekSulc 3.00/Vonasek 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.4%
Vonasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sulc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 14:20M. Sulc331111113J. Vonasek126510
LSep 6 · 21:18M. Sulc401291181J. Vonasek4414118113
WSep 6 · 20:20M. Sulc4211614113J. Vonasek377111271
LAug 31 · 11:50M. Sulc168350J. Vonasek331111113
WAug 17 · 10:55M. Sulc507111110113J. Vonasek3911441282
LAug 7 · 09:25M. Sulc194780J. Vonasek331111113
LJul 24 · 08:55M. Sulc336116101J. Vonasek4111711123
LJun 23 · 21:30M. Sulc331141081J. Vonasek4061112113
LJun 23 · 19:20M. Sulc199280J. Vonasek331111113
LJun 10 · 21:18M. Sulc34611981J. Vonasek4211911113
M. Sulc10
LSep 20 · 16:50P. Rissky2.10711135113M. Sulc1.67112111122LSep 20 · 15:50M. Sulc2.10117861O. Fiklik1.6781111113WSep 20 · 14:20J. Vonasek1.536510M. Sulc2.381111113WSep 20 · 13:59M. Sulc1.6771311113P. Rissky2.101111611WSep 20 · 12:50M. Sulc2.101211123O. Fiklik1.67108100WSep 20 · 11:20A. Langer2.00811691M. Sulc1.7311311113WSep 20 · 10:50P. Rissky1.83311891M. Sulc1.8311911113LSep 16 · 18:04M. Sulc2.10511591J. Hrncir1.6711811113LSep 16 · 17:25M. Sulc4.0053131192A. Kosacky1.221111117113LSep 16 · 15:55J. Volek2.2581111113M. Sulc1.57118971
J. Vonasek10
WSep 20 · 16:20J. Vonasek2.0011115113O. Fiklik1.73991191LSep 20 · 15:20J. Vonasek1.6171181152P. Rissky2.20119118113LSep 20 · 14:20J. Vonasek1.536510M. Sulc2.381111113WSep 18 · 10:38J. Vonasek2.10111115133O. Fiklik1.673917111WSep 18 · 08:55V. Jr2.207880J. Vonasek1.611111113WSep 18 · 08:25A. Langer2.38651151J. Vonasek1.5311113113WSep 18 · 07:25J. Vonasek1.911110711213O. Fiklik1.80612117192WSep 16 · 09:59J. Vonasek1.53971111113P. Moravec2.3811116432WSep 16 · 08:55J. Vonasek1.57101211113P. Moravec2.251210661LSep 16 · 07:55J. Vonasek1.6111611101V. Jr2.2013117123
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