TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Ondrej Fiklik
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1164111183111012
Jan Vonasek
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Fiklik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Fiklik above · Jan Vonasek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 87 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Ondrej Fiklik at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Fiklik 63–55 Jan Vonasek Jan Vonasek has won 55 of their 118 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:52What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Fiklik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
63-55 in 118
Fiklik
Wrong
gap of 8 in 118, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fiklik 1552 vs Vonasek 1569
Vonasek
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fiklik 60% vs Vonasek 40%
Fiklik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fiklik 50% vs Vonasek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fiklik +1 · Vonasek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fiklik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFiklik 1.73 / Vonasek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Fiklik)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13166560
Fiklik1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 85 of 157
Up 2–0, closes it91% 38 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it73% 56 of 77
Vonasek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 63 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back15% 15 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFiklik4wins
AwayVonasek6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVonasek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFiklik100%3 of 3
AwayVonasek85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fiklik3Vonasek7n = 10Vonasek took 7 of 10
S2Fiklik6Vonasek4n = 10Fiklik took 6 of 10
S3Fiklik9Vonasek1n = 10Fiklik took 9 of 10
S4Fiklik3Vonasek6n = 9Vonasek took 6 of 9
S5Fiklik0Vonasek3n = 3Vonasek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFiklikVonasekF − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.442.6−1.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFiklikVonasekBasisWin rate · lifetime558 / 1216 vs 358 / 73345.9%48.8%558 / 1216 vs 358 / 733Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FiklikFiklik 1.73/Vonasek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Fiklik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vonasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 16:20O. Fiklik38991191J. Vonasek3811115113
LSep 18 · 10:38O. Fiklik403917111J. Vonasek50111115133
LSep 18 · 07:25O. Fiklik55612117192J. Vonasek601110711213
LSep 14 · 12:50O. Fiklik4371111682J. Vonasek45116611113
WSep 10 · 11:55O. Fiklik51111613113J. Vonasek435141591
LAug 23 · 20:55O. Fiklik29841161J. Vonasek4211119113
WAug 22 · 21:25O. Fiklik4391112113J. Vonasek381191081
WAug 22 · 17:25O. Fiklik4011711113J. Vonasek38911991
LAug 21 · 08:55O. Fiklik3961111472J. Vonasek44117411113
WAug 18 · 07:25O. Fiklik361114113J. Vonasek2881280
O. Fiklik10
WSep 21 · 10:15O. Fiklik1.73119118113A. Langer2.0081171182WSep 21 · 07:55A. Langer1.91113771O. Fiklik1.8061111113LSep 21 · 07:25D. Sochor2.6313811113O. Fiklik1.441111991WSep 20 · 18:05O. Fiklik1.911211133P. Rissky1.80106110LSep 20 · 16:20J. Vonasek2.0011115113O. Fiklik1.73991191WSep 20 · 15:50M. Sulc2.10117861O. Fiklik1.6781111113WSep 20 · 14:50O. Fiklik1.801112113P. Rissky1.9191090WSep 20 · 13:30A. Langer1.859880O. Fiklik1.851111113LSep 20 · 12:50M. Sulc2.101211123O. Fiklik1.67108100LSep 20 · 11:50O. Fiklik1.731011101192P. Rissky2.00129128113
J. Vonasek10
WSep 21 · 08:25J. Vonasek1.9161115113D. Sochor1.801121381LSep 21 · 06:55A. Langer2.5011119113J. Vonasek1.50471191LSep 20 · 17:35M. Sulc3.00913116123J. Vonasek1.361111911102WSep 20 · 16:20J. Vonasek2.0011115113O. Fiklik1.73991191LSep 20 · 15:20J. Vonasek1.6171181152P. Rissky2.20119118113LSep 20 · 14:20J. Vonasek1.536510M. Sulc2.381111113WSep 18 · 10:38J. Vonasek2.10111115133O. Fiklik1.673917111WSep 18 · 08:55V. Jr2.207880J. Vonasek1.611111113WSep 18 · 08:25A. Langer2.38651151J. Vonasek1.5311113113WSep 18 · 07:25J. Vonasek1.911110711213O. Fiklik1.80612117192
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