TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Adam Martin Rek vs Ondrej Fiklik 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Adam Martin Rek
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711711115119911
Ondrej Fiklik
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:00 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeAdam Martin Rek to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAdam Martin Rek above · Ondrej Fiklik below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 92 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Adam Martin Rek at 54.5%
92 points played in total.
H2H Adam Martin Rek 34–22 Ondrej Fiklik Ondrej Fiklik has won 22 of their 56 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:00What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Rek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-22 in 56
Rek
Wrong
gap of 12 in 56, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rek 1640 vs Fiklik 1550
Rek
Wrong
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rek 60% vs Fiklik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rek 60% vs Fiklik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rek +1 · Fiklik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Rek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fiklik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRek 1.57 / Fiklik 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Rek)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13182192
Rek1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 17)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 101 of 170
Up 2–0, closes it90% 46 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it72% 75 of 104
Fiklik2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 21)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 107 of 264
Down 0–1, comes back23% 34 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back13% 12 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRek6wins
AwayFiklik4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRek71.4%5 of 7
AwayFiklik66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rek7Fiklik3n = 10Rek took 7 of 10
S2Rek9Fiklik1n = 10Rek took 9 of 10
S3Rek5Fiklik5n = 10split evenly
S4Rek2Fiklik4n = 6Fiklik took 4 of 6
S5Rek1Fiklik2n = 3Fiklik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRekFiklikR − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.535.6+2.9per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRekFiklikBasisWin rate · lifetime315 / 543 vs 556 / 121458%45.8%315 / 543 vs 556 / 1214Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RekRek 1.57/Fiklik 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.1%
Rek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Fiklik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 10:38A. Rek341211113O. Fiklik2510960
LSep 17 · 09:25A. Rek47111259102O. Fiklik539101111123
WSep 11 · 14:25A. Rek531112118113O. Fiklik49131071182
WSep 11 · 12:25A. Rek341111123O. Fiklik2165100
LSep 10 · 11:25A. Rek4411881162O. Fiklik43511115113
WSep 5 · 22:03A. Rek341211113O. Fiklik2710890
LSep 5 · 20:55A. Rek33811861O. Fiklik3711411113
WSep 1 · 12:25A. Rek341111123O. Fiklik2899100
WAug 21 · 12:25A. Rek3811115113O. Fiklik31841181
LAug 16 · 18:55A. Rek346111161O. Fiklik4211713113
A. Rek10
LSep 23 · 19:55A. Rek1.53143111192M. Sulc2.38161199113WSep 17 · 10:38O. Fiklik2.2510960A. Rek1.571211113LSep 17 · 09:25A. Rek1.57111259102O. Fiklik2.259101111123WSep 17 · 07:55A. Langer2.38119115102A. Rek1.53811611123WSep 17 · 07:25P. Moravec2.50211751A. Rek1.5011711113LSep 16 · 10:30A. Rek1.5011781542V. Jr2.459111113113WSep 16 · 09:25V. Jr2.50615331A. Rek1.50111311113WSep 16 · 08:25A. Rek1.5711811113P. Moravec2.25711581WSep 16 · 06:55J. Vonasek2.2510101131A. Rek1.5712127113LSep 15 · 09:58M. Brozek1.44116117113A. Rek2.6381191122
O. Fiklik10
WSep 21 · 10:15O. Fiklik1.73119118113A. Langer2.0081171182LSep 21 · 09:25O. Fiklik1.73114113102J. Vonasek2.00611811123WSep 21 · 07:55A. Langer1.91113771O. Fiklik1.8061111113LSep 21 · 07:25D. Sochor2.6313811113O. Fiklik1.441111991WSep 20 · 18:05O. Fiklik1.911211133P. Rissky1.80106110LSep 20 · 16:20J. Vonasek2.0011115113O. Fiklik1.73991191WSep 20 · 15:50M. Sulc2.10117861O. Fiklik1.6781111113WSep 20 · 14:50O. Fiklik1.801112113P. Rissky1.9191090LSep 17 · 10:38O. Fiklik2.2510960A. Rek1.571211113WSep 17 · 09:25A. Rek1.57111259102O. Fiklik2.259101111123
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