TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jerzy Michalik vs Marian Brunner 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Jerzy Michalik
Home
1.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1412113911117––
Marian Brunner
Away
1.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:06 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeJerzy Michalik to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
1412113911117––
H2H Jerzy Michalik 31–34 Marian Brunner Jerzy Michalik has won 31 of their 65 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:06What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Michalik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-34 in 65
Brunner
Wrong
gap of 3 in 65, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Michalik 1378 vs Brunner 1250
Michalik
Correct
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michalik 60% vs Brunner 20%
Michalik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michalik 50% vs Brunner 30%
Michalik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Michalik -1 · Brunner -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Michalik) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brunner form (20%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichalik 1.75 / Brunner 1.95
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Michalik)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13181156
Michalik1.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 138 of 224
Up 2–0, closes it93% 68 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it75% 98 of 131
Brunner1.95
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 48 of 149
Down 0–1, comes back17% 15 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMichalik6wins
AwayBrunner4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMichalik leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichalik62.5%5 of 8
AwayBrunnern = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michalik8Brunner2n = 10Michalik took 8 of 10
S2Michalik6Brunner4n = 10Michalik took 6 of 10
S3Michalik7Brunner3n = 10Michalik took 7 of 10
S4Michalik4Brunner3n = 7Michalik took 4 of 7
S5Michalik0Brunner3n = 3Brunner took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMichalikBrunnerM − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.536.4+2.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichalikBrunnerBasisWin rate · lifetime563 / 1191 vs 288 / 58947.3%48.9%563 / 1191 vs 288 / 589Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MichalikMichalik 1.75/Brunner 1.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.9%
Michalik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Michalik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 04:20J. Michalik30611851M. Brunner3611311113
WSep 15 · 18:45J. Michalik50151212113M. Brunner4513101481
WSep 8 · 18:45J. Michalik331111113M. Brunner248790
LAug 26 · 03:30J. Michalik38115101112M. Brunner45311128113
LAug 12 · 03:30J. Michalik4311511882M. Brunner43511511113
WAug 5 · 03:30J. Michalik341211113M. Brunner2810990
WJul 31 · 24:10J. Michalik4211911113M. Brunner31511691
LJul 30 · 20:30J. Michalik4411711782M. Brunner49911711113
WJul 29 · 24:45J. Michalik331111113M. Brunner279990
WJul 22 · 03:30J. Michalik3851111113M. Brunner36119881
J. Michalik10
LSep 23 · 02:20J. Michalik1.918550K. Delikatny1.781111113WSep 23 · 24:45J. Michalik2.07111011113K. Kwiatkowski1.68912791LSep 22 · 23:30J. Michalik1.8112101241M. Baran1.74141210113WSep 22 · 02:20J. Michalik2.00311511163A. Kubiak1.71116118142WSep 22 · 24:45J. Cyndera1.6661290J. Michalik2.051114113LSep 22 · 24:00M. Machelski2.20113911113J. Michalik1.5781111982WSep 21 · 23:10J. Michalik1.5411119123A. Staniczek2.254411101LSep 21 · 22:00J. Michalik2.75105111172M. Warzecha1.40121159113WSep 21 · 08:50J. Slawomir1.60371171J. Michalik2.1011119113LSep 21 · 07:30H. Tkaczyk1.30111711113J. Michalik2.80919671
M. Brunner10
WSep 23 · 04:20K. Kwiatkowski1.529380M. Brunner2.371111113LSep 23 · 02:45M. Brunner2.05611791M. Karpiuk1.5611611113WSep 23 · 01:10M. Brunner2.061110911113M. Baran1.5551211692LSep 23 · 24:20K. Delikatny1.60112147113M. Brunner2.20611121162LSep 22 · 23:05M. Brunner2.05711491M. Karpiuk1.6511411113LSep 22 · 21:30M. Brunner2.05117121182P. Gesiarz1.65811146113WSep 22 · 20:20M. Brunner2.381111113K. Delikatny1.535750LSep 22 · 18:45M. Brunner2.65710121192K. Kwiatkowski1.321112101113WSep 22 · 17:30M. Brunner1.90111166113M. Baran1.7596111162LSep 18 · 01:45M. Brunner7.004760M. Guzik1.081111113
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