TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yevhenii Sokoltsov vs Danylo Us 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411117611711––
Danylo Us
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:18 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Sokoltsov to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhenii Sokoltsov above · Danylo Us below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 68 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Yevhenii Sokoltsov at 58.9%
68 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Sokoltsov 11–10 Danylo Us Danylo Us has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:18What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sokoltsov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-10 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokoltsov 1503 vs Us 1417
Sokoltsov
Wrong
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokoltsov 20% vs Us 60%
Us
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokoltsov 30% vs Us 50%
Us
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokoltsov +1 · Us -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Sokoltsov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Us form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokoltsov 1.61 / Us 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Sokoltsov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13180332
Sokoltsov1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 22)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 84 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it94% 48 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it77% 65 of 84
Us2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 21)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 47 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSokoltsov5wins
AwayUs5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokoltsov50%3 of 6
AwayUs50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokoltsov6Us4n = 10Sokoltsov took 6 of 10
S2Sokoltsov5Us5n = 10split evenly
S3Sokoltsov6Us4n = 10Sokoltsov took 6 of 10
S4Sokoltsov4Us3n = 7Sokoltsov took 4 of 7
S5Sokoltsov2Us4n = 6Us took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSokoltsovUsS − UBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.139.3+3.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokoltsovUsBasisWin rate · lifetime261 / 535 vs 202 / 47448.8%42.6%261 / 535 vs 202 / 474Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokoltsovSokoltsov 1.61/Us 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Sokoltsov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Us won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov4011711472D. Us41611211113
LSep 3 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov4511116982D. Us41441111113
WAug 26 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov4591411113D. Us341112561
LAug 24 · 23:05Y. Sokoltsov45111011672D. Us45712411113
WJul 10 · 17:25Y. Sokoltsov511071112113D. Us45121171052
WJun 17 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov381111163D. Us2868140
WJun 8 · 17:55Y. Sokoltsov351311113D. Us2711970
WMay 6 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov521171211113D. Us4371114652
LApr 13 · 02:35Y. Sokoltsov4691251192D. Us491110116113
LMar 3 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov341211110D. Us401413133
Y. Sokoltsov10
WSep 22 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.401161091Y. Sokoltsov2.7581112113LSep 22 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.83851381S. Khandetskyi1.83111111113LSep 22 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.918630Y. Stepanchuk1.801111113LSep 21 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov3.401112391K. Hrynenko1.3081411113LSep 21 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov1.801141341D. Kim1.9191115113LSep 18 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.83611421Y. Stepanchuk1.8311611113LSep 18 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov2.636360H. Kulishov1.441111113WSep 18 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.80136911113D. Kim1.91111111882LSep 17 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.5711119612A. Peretiatko2.25761111113WSep 17 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov1.401111113M. Fomin2.755880
D. Us10
LSep 21 · 19:25D. Us1.731211761A. Peretiatko2.0014811113WSep 21 · 17:55D. Us1.67812124133P. Ishchyk2.1011101011112WSep 21 · 16:25D. Us2.63129811113D. Rehotun1.44101111782LSep 21 · 14:55D. Us1.837970M. Fomin1.831111113WSep 21 · 13:25D. Us1.67126126113M. Skliar2.101011101172LSep 21 · 03:35M. Skliar2.631410126153D. Us1.4412121011132WSep 21 · 02:35D. Kim1.7311611882D. Us2.00511611113WSep 21 · 01:05A. Peretiatko2.00911761D. Us1.7311911113LSep 20 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.50111011113D. Us2.50812871LSep 20 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.57811712113D. Us2.25119111092
Upcoming Matches
Y. Sokoltsov
Sep 23 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.73D. Kim2.00—Sep 24 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.44M. Fomin2.63—Sep 24 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.53M. Skliar2.38—Sep 24 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.57A. Peretiatko2.25—Sep 24 · 13:25Y. Sokoltsov2.63H. Kulishov1.44—Sep 24 · 14:55Y. Sokoltsov2.38D. Derevynskyi1.53—Sep 24 · 16:25Y. Sokoltsov1.91S. Khandetskyi1.80—Sep 24 · 17:55Y. Sokoltsov2.00V. Kobets1.73—Sep 24 · 19:25Y. Sokoltsov2.20O. Melashenko1.61—
D. Us
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