TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yevhenii Sokoltsov vs Kostiantyn Hrynenko 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1181214311911––
Kostiantyn Hrynenko
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:57 and never touched — 72.3% is still 72.3%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Hrynenko to win
72.3%
72.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Sokoltsov above · Kostiantyn Hrynenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 79 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Kostiantyn Hrynenko at 72.3%
79 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Sokoltsov 0–2 Kostiantyn Hrynenko Yevhenii Sokoltsov has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Hrynenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sokoltsov 1525 vs Hrynenko 1596
Hrynenko
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokoltsov 20% vs Hrynenko 40%
Hrynenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokoltsov 60% vs Hrynenko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokoltsov -3 · Hrynenko +1
Sokoltsov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Hrynenko) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrynenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokoltsov 3.40 / Hrynenko 1.30
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Hrynenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13168498
Sokoltsov3.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 53 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back17% 13 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 48
Hrynenko1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 59 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it86% 47 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSokoltsov0wins
AwayHrynenko2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderHrynenko leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricSokoltsovHrynenkoS − HBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match35.039.0−4.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokoltsovHrynenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime262 / 535 vs 423 / 90749%46.6%262 / 535 vs 423 / 907Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrynenkoSokoltsov 3.40/Hrynenko 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.1%
Hrynenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hrynenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 31 · 13:25Y. Sokoltsov239860K. Hrynenko331111113
LJul 8 · 24:35Y. Sokoltsov4771111992K. Hrynenko45117511113
Y. Sokoltsov10
LSep 21 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov1.801141341D. Kim1.9191115113LSep 18 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.83611421Y. Stepanchuk1.8311611113LSep 18 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov2.636360H. Kulishov1.441111113WSep 18 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.80136911113D. Kim1.91111111882LSep 17 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.5711119612A. Peretiatko2.25761111113WSep 17 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov1.401111113M. Fomin2.755880WSep 15 · 19:55Y. Sokoltsov1.731111113D. Rehotun2.007830WSep 15 · 17:55D. Derevynskyi1.4481370Y. Sokoltsov2.631115113WSep 15 · 16:55Y. Sokoltsov1.911111113S. Khandetskyi1.805520WSep 15 · 15:55V. Kobets1.67111171182Y. Sokoltsov2.10613114113
K. Hrynenko10
WSep 22 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.4411711123D. Kim2.638118101WSep 21 · 22:05K. Hrynenko1.531111113S. Khandetskyi2.387640LSep 20 · 03:35K. Hrynenko1.617370M. Marchuk2.201111113LSep 20 · 01:35V. Lobas1.441114113K. Hrynenko2.6391280LSep 20 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.6110360O. Melashenko2.201211113WSep 19 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.6189110K. Hrynenko2.201111133WSep 19 · 22:05K. Hrynenko2.1011117123Y. Krol1.676611101WSep 19 · 03:05Y. Krol1.676280K. Hrynenko2.101111113WSep 19 · 02:05K. Hrynenko2.5011119113V. Lobas1.50381191WSep 19 · 01:05K. Hrynenko2.10121178113D. Derevynskyi1.67109111182
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