TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155548
Played Sep 19Finished
Oleksandr Gomilko
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8119111113––––
Kostiantyn Hrynenko
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:08 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Gomilko to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Gomilko above · Kostiantyn Hrynenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 63 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Oleksandr Gomilko at 59.7%
63 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Gomilko 55–46 Kostiantyn Hrynenko Kostiantyn Hrynenko has won 46 of their 101 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:08What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Gomilko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
55-46 in 101
Gomilko
Wrong
gap of 9 in 101, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gomilko 1573 vs Hrynenko 1634
Hrynenko
Correct
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gomilko 20% vs Hrynenko 100%
Hrynenko
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gomilko 40% vs Hrynenko 70%
Hrynenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gomilko -3 · Hrynenko +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Gomilko) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrynenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGomilko 1.61 / Hrynenko 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Gomilko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13155548
Gomilko1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 111 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it94% 46 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it78% 77 of 99
Hrynenko2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog43% won 144 of 334
Down 0–1, comes back26% 46 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGomilko5wins
AwayHrynenko5wins
Level at 5–5.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGomilko75%3 of 4
AwayHrynenko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gomilko4Hrynenko6n = 10Hrynenko took 6 of 10
S2Gomilko7Hrynenko3n = 10Gomilko took 7 of 10
S3Gomilko5Hrynenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Gomilko3Hrynenko4n = 7Hrynenko took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGomilkoHrynenkoG − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.234.5+1.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGomilkoHrynenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime319 / 568 vs 425 / 90856.2%46.8%319 / 568 vs 425 / 908Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GomilkoGomilko 1.61/Hrynenko 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Gomilko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hrynenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 19 · 23:35O. Gomilko2889110K. Hrynenko351111133
LSep 18 · 23:35O. Gomilko348111051K. Hrynenko3811412113
LSep 12 · 23:35O. Gomilko30311971K. Hrynenko3611311113
WSep 11 · 21:35O. Gomilko4381212113K. Hrynenko3611101051
LSep 5 · 23:35O. Gomilko30116581K. Hrynenko4071111113
WSep 4 · 21:35O. Gomilko351112123K. Hrynenko29910100
WAug 30 · 02:05O. Gomilko331111113K. Hrynenko236890
WAug 28 · 21:35O. Gomilko46121211113K. Hrynenko321014441
WAug 23 · 01:05O. Gomilko43101111113K. Hrynenko34129491
LAug 22 · 24:35O. Gomilko401311881K. Hrynenko4215511113
O. Gomilko10
LSep 20 · 01:05O. Gomilko1.808119111M. Marchuk1.9111611133LSep 19 · 21:35O. Gomilko1.8061171152O. Melashenko1.91116116113LSep 19 · 03:35O. Gomilko1.50613691D. Derevynskyi2.50111111113LSep 19 · 01:35Y. Krol1.911111113O. Gomilko1.805970WSep 19 · 24:35O. Gomilko1.83117711123M. Marchuk1.83811117102LSep 18 · 23:35K. Hrynenko2.2511412113O. Gomilko1.578111051WSep 18 · 22:05O. Gomilko2.00101111123V. Lobas1.731298101LSep 13 · 03:05V. Lobas1.801211113O. Gomilko1.9110850WSep 13 · 02:05O. Gomilko1.7311114113Y. Krol2.00571191WSep 13 · 01:05O. Gomilko1.8311911113M. Marchuk1.83811151
K. Hrynenko10
LSep 20 · 01:35V. Lobas1.441114113K. Hrynenko2.6391280LSep 20 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.6110360O. Melashenko2.201211113WSep 19 · 22:05K. Hrynenko2.1011117123Y. Krol1.676611101WSep 19 · 03:05Y. Krol1.676280K. Hrynenko2.101111113WSep 19 · 02:05K. Hrynenko2.5011119113V. Lobas1.50381191WSep 19 · 01:05K. Hrynenko2.10121178113D. Derevynskyi1.67109111182WSep 18 · 23:35K. Hrynenko2.2511412113O. Gomilko1.578111051LSep 18 · 21:35K. Hrynenko1.6191141382M. Marchuk2.201151111113LSep 18 · 03:55K. Hrynenko2.0078100S. Abalmaz1.731111123WSep 18 · 01:55R. Gnoevoy1.57741141K. Hrynenko2.2511115113
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