TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148641
Played Sep 18Finished
Kostiantyn Hrynenko
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1184111210115––
Oleksandr Gomilko
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:29 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Gomilko to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKostiantyn Hrynenko above · Oleksandr Gomilko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 72 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Oleksandr Gomilko at 59.7%
72 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Hrynenko 44–55 Oleksandr Gomilko Kostiantyn Hrynenko has won 44 of their 99 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:29What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Gomilko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
44-55 in 99
Gomilko
Wrong
gap of 11 in 99, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrynenko 1552 vs Gomilko 1632
Gomilko
Wrong
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrynenko 40% vs Gomilko 60%
Gomilko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrynenko 40% vs Gomilko 60%
Gomilko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrynenko -2 · Gomilko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Gomilko) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrynenko 2.25 / Gomilko 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Gomilko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13148641
Hrynenko2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 141 of 330
Down 0–1, comes back26% 47 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 90
Gomilko1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 113 of 181
Up 2–0, closes it94% 47 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it78% 79 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrynenko5wins
AwayGomilko5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrynenko50%2 of 4
AwayGomilko50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrynenko4Gomilko6n = 10Gomilko took 6 of 10
S2Hrynenko4Gomilko6n = 10Gomilko took 6 of 10
S3Hrynenko5Gomilko5n = 10split evenly
S4Hrynenko4Gomilko4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrynenkoGomilkoH − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.237.6−1.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrynenkoGomilkoBasisWin rate · lifetime419 / 902 vs 318 / 56446.5%56.4%419 / 902 vs 318 / 564Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GomilkoHrynenko 2.25/Gomilko 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Gomilko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hrynenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 23:35K. Hrynenko3611311113O. Gomilko30311971
LSep 11 · 21:35K. Hrynenko3611101051O. Gomilko4381212113
WSep 5 · 23:35K. Hrynenko4071111113O. Gomilko30116581
LSep 4 · 21:35K. Hrynenko29910100O. Gomilko351112123
LAug 30 · 02:05K. Hrynenko236890O. Gomilko331111113
LAug 28 · 21:35K. Hrynenko321014441O. Gomilko46121211113
LAug 23 · 01:05K. Hrynenko34129491O. Gomilko43101111113
WAug 22 · 24:35K. Hrynenko4215511113O. Gomilko401311881
WAug 15 · 22:35K. Hrynenko46101113123O. Gomilko4212911101
WAug 15 · 02:35K. Hrynenko44511116113O. Gomilko3411631132
K. Hrynenko10
LSep 18 · 21:35K. Hrynenko1.6191141382M. Marchuk2.201151111113LSep 18 · 03:55K. Hrynenko2.0078100S. Abalmaz1.731111123WSep 18 · 01:55R. Gnoevoy1.57741141K. Hrynenko2.2511115113LSep 18 · 24:55K. Hrynenko2.20118871D. Derevynskyi1.6191111113WSep 17 · 23:55V. Khamurda1.807101261K. Hrynenko1.91111210113LSep 17 · 22:25K. Hrynenko1.83671181O. Naida1.8311118113LSep 15 · 04:05K. Hrynenko1.575570O. Melashenko2.251111113LSep 15 · 02:05D. Rehotun2.3811149113K. Hrynenko1.538121191WSep 15 · 24:05V. Kobets3.759850K. Hrynenko1.251111113WSep 14 · 23:05K. Hrynenko1.571111113S. Khandetskyi2.255920
O. Gomilko10
WSep 19 · 24:35O. Gomilko1.83117711123M. Marchuk1.83811117102WSep 18 · 22:05O. Gomilko2.00101111123V. Lobas1.731298101LSep 13 · 03:05V. Lobas1.801211113O. Gomilko1.9110850WSep 13 · 02:05O. Gomilko1.7311114113Y. Krol2.00571191WSep 13 · 01:05O. Gomilko1.8311911113M. Marchuk1.83811151LSep 12 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.61311971K. Hrynenko2.2011311113WSep 12 · 21:35O. Gomilko1.831111113O. Melashenko1.836770LSep 12 · 04:05V. Lobas1.831111113O. Gomilko1.839980WSep 12 · 02:35O. Gomilko1.8091111113O. Melashenko1.91113771LSep 12 · 24:35D. Derevynskyi2.631111113O. Gomilko1.445760
Upcoming Matches
K. Hrynenko
Sep 19 · 02:05K. Hrynenko2.50V. Lobas1.50—Sep 19 · 03:05K. Hrynenko2.10Y. Krol1.67—Sep 19 · 22:05K. Hrynenko2.10Y. Krol1.67—Sep 19 · 23:35K. Hrynenko2.25O. Gomilko1.57—Sep 20 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.61O. Melashenko2.20—Sep 20 · 01:35K. Hrynenko2.50V. Lobas1.50—Sep 20 · 03:35K. Hrynenko1.61M. Marchuk2.20—
O. Gomilko
Sep 19 · 01:35O. Gomilko1.80Y. Krol1.91—Sep 19 · 03:35O. Gomilko1.50D. Derevynskyi2.50—Sep 19 · 21:35O. Gomilko1.80O. Melashenko1.91—Sep 19 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.57K. Hrynenko2.25—Sep 20 · 01:05O. Gomilko1.83M. Marchuk1.83—Sep 20 · 02:05O. Gomilko1.80Y. Krol1.91—Sep 20 · 03:05O. Gomilko1.91V. Lobas1.80—
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