TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142908
Played Sep 17Finished
Vitalii Khamurda
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
71110121210611––
Kostiantyn Hrynenko
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitalii Khamurda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Khamurda above · Kostiantyn Hrynenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 79 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Vitalii Khamurda at 54.0%
79 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Khamurda 61–50 Kostiantyn Hrynenko Kostiantyn Hrynenko has won 50 of their 111 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:38What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Khamurda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
61-50 in 111
Khamurda
Wrong
gap of 11 in 111, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khamurda 1582 vs Hrynenko 1531
Khamurda
Wrong
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khamurda 40% vs Hrynenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khamurda 40% vs Hrynenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khamurda +2 · Hrynenko -3
Hrynenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khamurda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrynenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhamurda 1.80 / Hrynenko 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Khamurda)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13142908
Khamurda1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 95 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it98% 45 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it76% 59 of 78
Hrynenko1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 141 of 330
Down 0–1, comes back26% 47 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhamurda6wins
AwayHrynenko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKhamurda leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhamurda100%5 of 5
AwayHrynenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khamurda5Hrynenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Khamurda5Hrynenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Khamurda7Hrynenko3n = 10Khamurda took 7 of 10
S4Khamurda3Hrynenko3n = 6split evenly
S5Khamurda2Hrynenko1n = 3Khamurda took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhamurdaHrynenkoK − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.736.7+2.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhamurdaHrynenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime469 / 879 vs 418 / 89953.4%46.5%469 / 879 vs 418 / 899Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhamurdaKhamurda 1.80/Hrynenko 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Khamurda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hrynenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 7 · 23:35V. Khamurda196760K. Hrynenko331111113
LJul 28 · 03:25V. Khamurda37714791K. Hrynenko45111211113
WJul 25 · 24:35V. Khamurda371411123K. Hrynenko31129100
WJul 19 · 24:35V. Khamurda341211113K. Hrynenko2310940
WJul 16 · 22:55V. Khamurda51119911113K. Hrynenko4091111452
WJul 14 · 21:55V. Khamurda331111113K. Hrynenko158430
WJul 7 · 03:25V. Khamurda517111110123K. Hrynenko47118612102
LJul 3 · 21:05V. Khamurda551391112102K. Hrynenko561511810123
LJun 29 · 22:55V. Khamurda30591151K. Hrynenko4111118113
WJun 24 · 15:55V. Khamurda4011611123K. Hrynenko367118101
V. Khamurda10
WSep 17 · 21:55V. Khamurda1.9181112113D. Derevynskyi1.801141081WSep 16 · 03:35S. Abalmaz1.53811951V. Khamurda2.3811911113LSep 16 · 02:35R. Gnoevoy2.001111113V. Khamurda1.736690LSep 16 · 01:05S. Skachenko1.831111113V. Khamurda1.837980LSep 15 · 23:05O. Naida1.831111812113V. Khamurda1.8346111492LSep 15 · 21:05T. Ponomarenko1.911111133V. Khamurda1.8098110WSep 15 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.911111113D. Derevynskyi1.808890WSep 15 · 01:55V. Khamurda1.831111113O. Naida1.836990LSep 15 · 24:25V. Khamurda1.83111181282S. Skachenko1.837131110113LSep 14 · 22:55V. Khamurda2.5011991192S. Abalmaz1.50211118113
K. Hrynenko10
LSep 17 · 22:25K. Hrynenko1.83671181O. Naida1.8311118113LSep 15 · 04:05K. Hrynenko1.575570O. Melashenko2.251111113LSep 15 · 02:05D. Rehotun2.3811149113K. Hrynenko1.538121191WSep 15 · 24:05V. Kobets3.759850K. Hrynenko1.251111113WSep 14 · 23:05K. Hrynenko1.571111113S. Khandetskyi2.255920LSep 14 · 22:05H. Kulishov2.1010141113113K. Hrynenko1.67121291522WSep 13 · 03:35K. Hrynenko1.671111113M. Marchuk2.109830LSep 13 · 01:35V. Lobas1.531111113K. Hrynenko2.389210WSep 13 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.6111117113O. Melashenko2.20551171WSep 12 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.61311971K. Hrynenko2.2011311113
Upcoming Matches
V. Khamurda
K. Hrynenko
Sep 18 · 01:55K. Hrynenko2.25R. Gnoevoy1.57—Sep 18 · 03:55K. Hrynenko2.00S. Abalmaz1.73—Sep 18 · 21:35K. Hrynenko1.61M. Marchuk2.20—Sep 18 · 23:35K. Hrynenko2.25O. Gomilko1.57—Sep 19 · 01:05K. Hrynenko2.20D. Derevynskyi1.61—Sep 19 · 02:05K. Hrynenko2.50V. Lobas1.50—Sep 19 · 03:05K. Hrynenko2.10Y. Krol1.67—
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