TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13132120
Played Sep 16Finished
Roman Gnoevoy
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116116119––––
Vitalii Khamurda
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:04 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeVitalii Khamurda to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRoman Gnoevoy above · Vitalii Khamurda below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 54 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Vitalii Khamurda at 56.9%
54 points played in total.
H2H Roman Gnoevoy 68–126 Vitalii Khamurda Roman Gnoevoy has won 68 of their 194 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 23:04What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Khamurda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
68-126 in 194
Khamurda
Wrong
gap of 58 in 194, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gnoevoy 1499 vs Khamurda 1574
Khamurda
Wrong
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gnoevoy 40% vs Khamurda 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gnoevoy 40% vs Khamurda 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gnoevoy -1 · Khamurda -3
Khamurda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Khamurda) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khamurda form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGnoevoy 2.00 / Khamurda 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Khamurda)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13132120
Gnoevoy2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 90 of 189
Down 0–1, comes back24% 23 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 57
Khamurda1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 96 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it98% 45 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it75% 60 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGnoevoy2wins
AwayKhamurda8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKhamurda leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGnoevoy50%2 of 4
AwayKhamurda100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gnoevoy4Khamurda6n = 10Khamurda took 6 of 10
S2Gnoevoy4Khamurda6n = 10Khamurda took 6 of 10
S3Gnoevoy6Khamurda4n = 10Gnoevoy took 6 of 10
S4Gnoevoy3Khamurda4n = 7Khamurda took 4 of 7
S5Gnoevoy0Khamurda5n = 5Khamurda took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGnoevoyKhamurdaG − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.740.4−3.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGnoevoyKhamurdaBasisWin rate · lifetime407 / 819 vs 472 / 88649.7%53.3%407 / 819 vs 472 / 886Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhamurdaGnoevoy 2.00/Khamurda 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Khamurda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gnoevoy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 01:55R. Gnoevoy514111111142V. Khamurda53111376163
LSep 8 · 16:55R. Gnoevoy2811980V. Khamurda351311113
WSep 8 · 24:25R. Gnoevoy4111811113V. Khamurda35811971
LSep 4 · 03:25R. Gnoevoy4291131182V. Khamurda41117111113
WSep 2 · 01:55R. Gnoevoy361114113V. Khamurda2341270
LAug 31 · 21:25R. Gnoevoy42113111162V. Khamurda50711813113
LAug 31 · 03:25R. Gnoevoy39915961V. Khamurda46111311113
LAug 28 · 13:05R. Gnoevoy198740V. Khamurda331111113
LAug 27 · 23:55R. Gnoevoy3111411322V. Khamurda49811811113
LAug 13 · 22:55R. Gnoevoy3841111482V. Khamurda39113311113
R. Gnoevoy10
LSep 16 · 24:35S. Abalmaz1.671111113R. Gnoevoy2.108990WSep 15 · 22:35T. Ponomarenko2.00531181R. Gnoevoy1.7311116113LSep 15 · 21:35S. Skachenko1.83111111113R. Gnoevoy1.83613271LSep 15 · 03:55O. Naida1.831112113R. Gnoevoy1.8361060WSep 15 · 02:55S. Abalmaz1.73711881R. Gnoevoy2.0011911113WSep 15 · 01:25D. Derevynskyi1.80911811122R. Gnoevoy1.91118118143WSep 14 · 23:25S. Skachenko1.83119116102R. Gnoevoy1.83511811123LSep 14 · 21:25V. Khamurda1.7311811113R. Gnoevoy2.00711641LSep 11 · 03:55R. Gnoevoy1.508590T. Ponomarenko2.501111113LSep 11 · 01:55V. Khamurda1.73111376163R. Gnoevoy2.004111111142
V. Khamurda10
WSep 16 · 03:35S. Abalmaz1.53811951V. Khamurda2.3811911113LSep 16 · 01:05S. Skachenko1.831111113V. Khamurda1.837980LSep 15 · 23:05O. Naida1.831111812113V. Khamurda1.8346111492LSep 15 · 21:05T. Ponomarenko1.911111133V. Khamurda1.8098110WSep 15 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.911111113D. Derevynskyi1.808890WSep 15 · 01:55V. Khamurda1.831111113O. Naida1.836990LSep 15 · 24:25V. Khamurda1.83111181282S. Skachenko1.837131110113LSep 14 · 22:55V. Khamurda2.5011991192S. Abalmaz1.50211118113WSep 14 · 21:25V. Khamurda1.7311811113R. Gnoevoy2.00711641WSep 11 · 01:55V. Khamurda1.73111376163R. Gnoevoy2.004111111142
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