TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13154983
Played Sep 19Finished
Oleksandr Gomilko
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611116711116511
Oleksandr Melashenko
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Gomilko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Gomilko above · Oleksandr Melashenko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 85 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Oleksandr Gomilko at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Gomilko 34–41 Oleksandr Melashenko Oleksandr Gomilko has won 34 of their 75 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:20What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Gomilko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-41 in 75
Melashenko
Correct
gap of 7 in 75, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gomilko 1598 vs Melashenko 1545
Gomilko
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gomilko 40% vs Melashenko 80%
Melashenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gomilko 50% vs Melashenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gomilko -2 · Melashenko +3
Melashenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gomilko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melashenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGomilko 1.80 / Melashenko 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Gomilko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13154983
Gomilko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 111 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it94% 46 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it78% 77 of 99
Melashenko1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 17)
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 103 of 270
Down 0–1, comes back21% 34 of 164
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGomilko5wins
AwayMelashenko5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGomilko80%4 of 5
AwayMelashenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gomilko5Melashenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Gomilko6Melashenko4n = 10Gomilko took 6 of 10
S3Gomilko6Melashenko4n = 10Gomilko took 6 of 10
S4Gomilko2Melashenko5n = 7Melashenko took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGomilkoMelashenkoG − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.534.8+1.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGomilkoMelashenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime319 / 568 vs 443 / 87256.2%50.8%319 / 568 vs 443 / 872Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GomilkoGomilko 1.80/Melashenko 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.3%
Gomilko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Melashenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 21:35O. Gomilko331111113O. Melashenko206770
WSep 12 · 02:35O. Gomilko4291111113O. Melashenko28113771
LSep 5 · 21:35O. Gomilko205780O. Melashenko331111113
LSep 5 · 24:35O. Gomilko341271141O. Melashenko4214116113
WAug 29 · 23:35O. Gomilko4211119113O. Melashenko33781171
WAug 23 · 02:05O. Gomilko331111113O. Melashenko156270
LAug 22 · 02:35O. Gomilko31711851O. Melashenko4111811113
LAug 14 · 21:35O. Gomilko31651191O. Melashenko3811115113
LAug 7 · 23:05O. Gomilko48111151292O. Melashenko50951114113
WAug 2 · 01:05O. Gomilko511210126113O. Melashenko481012101152
O. Gomilko10
LSep 19 · 03:35O. Gomilko1.50613691D. Derevynskyi2.50111111113LSep 19 · 01:35Y. Krol1.911111113O. Gomilko1.805970WSep 19 · 24:35O. Gomilko1.83117711123M. Marchuk1.83811117102LSep 18 · 23:35K. Hrynenko2.2511412113O. Gomilko1.578111051WSep 18 · 22:05O. Gomilko2.00101111123V. Lobas1.731298101LSep 13 · 03:05V. Lobas1.801211113O. Gomilko1.9110850WSep 13 · 02:05O. Gomilko1.7311114113Y. Krol2.00571191WSep 13 · 01:05O. Gomilko1.8311911113M. Marchuk1.83811151LSep 12 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.61311971K. Hrynenko2.2011311113WSep 12 · 21:35O. Gomilko1.831111113O. Melashenko1.836770
O. Melashenko10
WSep 19 · 22:35V. Lobas1.3311470O. Melashenko3.251311113WSep 17 · 04:05O. Melashenko2.20781114123H. Kulishov1.611111712102WSep 17 · 02:05D. Kim2.00811481O. Melashenko1.7311911113WSep 17 · 24:05S. Khandetskyi1.618950O. Melashenko2.201111113LSep 16 · 23:05O. Melashenko1.2514590D. Rehotun3.751611113WSep 16 · 22:05S. Pitsyk2.637990O. Melashenko1.441111113LSep 15 · 20:25O. Melashenko2.0051030S. Khandetskyi1.731112113LSep 15 · 18:25V. Kobets2.1011117143O. Melashenko1.677511121LSep 15 · 16:25D. Derevynskyi1.571111113O. Melashenko2.256760LSep 12 · 21:35O. Gomilko1.831111113O. Melashenko1.836770
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