TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yevhenii Sokoltsov vs Dmitriy Kim 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1194111315411––
Dmitriy Kim
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Sokoltsov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhenii Sokoltsov above · Dmitriy Kim below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 78 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Yevhenii Sokoltsov at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Sokoltsov 47–38 Dmitriy Kim Dmitriy Kim has won 38 of their 85 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 09:05What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sokoltsov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-38 in 85
Sokoltsov
Wrong
gap of 9 in 85, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokoltsov 1537 vs Kim 1548
Kim
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokoltsov 40% vs Kim 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokoltsov 60% vs Kim 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokoltsov -2 · Kim -3
Kim
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sokoltsov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kim form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokoltsov 1.80 / Kim 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sokoltsov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13168537
Sokoltsov1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 18)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 84 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it94% 48 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it78% 65 of 83
Kim1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 133 of 297
Down 0–1, comes back34% 65 of 189
Down 0–2, comes back10% 9 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSokoltsov8wins
AwayKim2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSokoltsov leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokoltsov100%5 of 5
AwayKim40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokoltsov5Kim5n = 10split evenly
S2Sokoltsov5Kim5n = 10split evenly
S3Sokoltsov6Kim4n = 10Sokoltsov took 6 of 10
S4Sokoltsov6Kim1n = 7Sokoltsov took 6 of 7
S5Sokoltsov4Kim1n = 5Sokoltsov took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSokoltsovKimS − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.136.9+5.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokoltsovKimBasisWin rate · lifetime263 / 535 vs 491 / 100849.2%48.7%263 / 535 vs 491 / 1008Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokoltsovSokoltsov 1.80/Kim 1.91
Miss
What we said
54%
Sokoltsov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov50136911113D. Kim49111111882
WSep 14 · 24:35Y. Sokoltsov4391111123D. Kim331184101
LSep 9 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov3191390D. Kim371115113
WSep 7 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov521181111113D. Kim4413116862
WSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov341111123D. Kim2064100
LSep 2 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov43561111102D. Kim50111179123
WAug 27 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov50912711113D. Kim43111011742
WAug 24 · 22:05Y. Sokoltsov45115117113D. Kim4351191172
WAug 21 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov331111113D. Kim236890
WAug 16 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov4011117113D. Kim27441181
Y. Sokoltsov10
LSep 18 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.83611421Y. Stepanchuk1.8311611113LSep 18 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov2.636360H. Kulishov1.441111113WSep 18 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.80136911113D. Kim1.91111111882LSep 17 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.5711119612A. Peretiatko2.25761111113WSep 17 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov1.401111113M. Fomin2.755880WSep 15 · 19:55Y. Sokoltsov1.731111113D. Rehotun2.007830WSep 15 · 17:55D. Derevynskyi1.4481370Y. Sokoltsov2.631115113WSep 15 · 16:55Y. Sokoltsov1.911111113S. Khandetskyi1.805520WSep 15 · 15:55V. Kobets1.67111171182Y. Sokoltsov2.10613114113LSep 15 · 14:25Y. Sokoltsov2.254740O. Melashenko1.571111113
D. Kim10
LSep 21 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011911113D. Kim1.91811661LSep 21 · 02:35D. Kim1.7311611882D. Us2.00511611113LSep 21 · 24:35M. Skliar2.5011136133D. Kim1.5091111111WSep 20 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.839940D. Kim1.831111113WSep 20 · 21:35A. Peretiatko1.6111811662D. Kim2.20711811113WSep 18 · 04:05D. Kim2.201211510113A. Peretiatko1.61106111262LSep 18 · 02:05Y. Stepanchuk1.91111111113D. Kim1.80713491LSep 18 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.80136911113D. Kim1.91111111882WSep 17 · 23:05D. Kim1.615101111143M. Fomin2.20111249122WSep 17 · 22:05H. Kulishov1.835131071D. Kim1.83111112113
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