TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Kostiantyn Hrynenko
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711311711––––
Maxim Marchuk
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:19 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Hrynenko to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKostiantyn Hrynenko above · Maxim Marchuk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 50 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Kostiantyn Hrynenko at 60.9%
50 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Hrynenko 43–40 Maxim Marchuk Maxim Marchuk has won 40 of their 83 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:19What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hrynenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-40 in 83
Hrynenko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 83, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrynenko 1593 vs Marchuk 1462
Hrynenko
Wrong
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrynenko 60% vs Marchuk 40%
Hrynenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrynenko 60% vs Marchuk 30%
Hrynenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrynenko -2 · Marchuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Hrynenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrynenko 1.61 / Marchuk 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Hrynenko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13155271
Hrynenko1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 59 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it86% 47 of 55
Marchuk2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 46 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back21% 11 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrynenko6wins
AwayMarchuk4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHrynenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrynenko85.7%6 of 7
AwayMarchuk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrynenko7Marchuk3n = 10Hrynenko took 7 of 10
S2Hrynenko7Marchuk3n = 10Hrynenko took 7 of 10
S3Hrynenko5Marchuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Hrynenko5Marchuk1n = 6Hrynenko took 5 of 6
S5Hrynenko0Marchuk3n = 3Marchuk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrynenkoMarchukH − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.436.1+2.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrynenkoMarchukBasisWin rate · lifetime425 / 910 vs 209 / 47046.7%44.5%425 / 910 vs 209 / 470Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrynenkoHrynenko 1.61/Marchuk 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.9%
Hrynenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Marchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 21:35K. Hrynenko4591141382M. Marchuk491151111113
WSep 13 · 03:35K. Hrynenko331111113M. Marchuk209830
WSep 6 · 03:35K. Hrynenko3811412113M. Marchuk325111061
WAug 29 · 23:05K. Hrynenko351211123M. Marchuk28108100
LAug 23 · 03:35K. Hrynenko4411117962M. Marchuk43191111113
LAug 16 · 04:05K. Hrynenko4279111142M. Marchuk47111195113
WAug 2 · 24:35K. Hrynenko4411119133M. Marchuk357611111
WJul 18 · 22:35K. Hrynenko361411113M. Marchuk2112360
LMay 31 · 03:35K. Hrynenko145360M. Marchuk331111113
WApr 3 · 23:35K. Hrynenko5311223173M. Marchuk5372011151
K. Hrynenko10
LSep 20 · 01:35V. Lobas1.441114113K. Hrynenko2.6391280LSep 20 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.6110360O. Melashenko2.201211113WSep 19 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.6189110K. Hrynenko2.201111133WSep 19 · 22:05K. Hrynenko2.1011117123Y. Krol1.676611101WSep 19 · 03:05Y. Krol1.676280K. Hrynenko2.101111113WSep 19 · 02:05K. Hrynenko2.5011119113V. Lobas1.50381191WSep 19 · 01:05K. Hrynenko2.10121178113D. Derevynskyi1.67109111182WSep 18 · 23:35K. Hrynenko2.2511412113O. Gomilko1.578111051LSep 18 · 21:35K. Hrynenko1.6191141382M. Marchuk2.201151111113LSep 18 · 03:55K. Hrynenko2.0078100S. Abalmaz1.731111123
M. Marchuk10
LSep 20 · 02:35O. Melashenko1.611111113M. Marchuk2.207670WSep 20 · 01:05O. Gomilko1.808119111M. Marchuk1.9111611133LSep 19 · 23:05Y. Krol1.831111113M. Marchuk1.838450LSep 19 · 21:05V. Lobas1.361311113M. Marchuk3.0011190WSep 19 · 04:05V. Lobas1.339430M. Marchuk3.251111113LSep 19 · 02:35M. Marchuk2.501568111D. Derevynskyi1.50131111133LSep 19 · 24:35O. Gomilko1.83117711123M. Marchuk1.83811117102LSep 18 · 22:35Y. Krol1.801211113M. Marchuk1.9110470WSep 18 · 21:35K. Hrynenko1.6191141382M. Marchuk2.201151111113LSep 13 · 03:35K. Hrynenko1.671111113M. Marchuk2.109830
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