TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Mykolay Treschetka vs Illia Fokin 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Mykolay Treschetka
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117119––––
Illia Fokin
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:48 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeMykolay Treschetka to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykolay Treschetka above · Illia Fokin below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Mykolay Treschetka at 64.5%
57 points played in total.
H2H Mykolay Treschetka 5–0 Illia Fokin Illia Fokin has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:48What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Treschetka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-0 in 5
Treschetka
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Treschetka 1157 vs Fokin 1071
Treschetka
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Treschetka 40% vs Fokin 20%
Treschetka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Treschetka 30% vs Fokin 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Treschetka +1 · Fokin -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Treschetka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fokin form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTreschetka 1.50 / Fokin 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Treschetka)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13179953
Treschetka1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 65 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it82% 46 of 56
Fokin2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 36 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back27% 13 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeTreschetka5wins
AwayFokin0wins
2 of 5 to a deciderTreschetka leads 5–0, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTreschetka100%3 of 3
AwayFokinn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Treschetka3Fokin2n = 5Treschetka took 3 of 5
S2Treschetka3Fokin2n = 5Treschetka took 3 of 5
S3Treschetka4Fokin1n = 5Treschetka took 4 of 5
S4Treschetka3Fokin1n = 4Treschetka took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricTreschetkaFokinT − FBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match43.034.6+8.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTreschetkaFokinBasisWin rate · lifetime465 / 930 vs 146 / 28350%51.6%465 / 930 vs 146 / 283Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TreschetkaTreschetka 1.50/Fokin 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Treschetka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Treschetka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 18 · 05:55M. Treschetka4581111153I. Fokin321135131
WSep 17 · 13:25M. Treschetka51119137113I. Fokin47511111192
WSep 14 · 04:55M. Treschetka47591111113I. Fokin4411116882
WSep 13 · 13:25M. Treschetka3911116113I. Fokin34791171
WApr 28 · 05:55M. Treschetka331111113I. Fokin164840
M. Treschetka10
WSep 23 · 12:55V. Ivanytskyi2.505350M. Treschetka1.501111113LSep 20 · 16:53O. Maslovskyi1.571111113M. Treschetka2.255670WSep 20 · 14:55V. Salivonchyk1.616360M. Treschetka2.201111113LSep 20 · 13:55M. Treschetka2.5011128962V. Kheresko1.50710111193LSep 20 · 12:55O. Maksymkiv2.751113119113M. Treschetka1.4091561182LSep 18 · 10:25M. Treschetka5.00126101392H. Oliynyk1.1410111211113LSep 18 · 08:55M. Treschetka2.633130M. Vivatenko1.441111113LSep 18 · 07:25M. Treschetka2.201051181O. Maslovskyi1.6112119113WSep 18 · 05:55M. Treschetka1.5081111153I. Fokin2.501135131LSep 18 · 04:25M. Treschetka2.257570V. Kheresko1.571111113
I. Fokin10
LSep 23 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi1.831118113I. Fokin1.8371620LSep 20 · 17:25I. Fokin3.7511340V. Kheresko1.251311113WSep 20 · 15:25O. Maksymkiv1.4471110111I. Fokin2.6311712133LSep 20 · 13:25V. Salivonchyk1.611111113I. Fokin2.207760LSep 20 · 12:25O. Maslovskyi1.9111711113I. Fokin1.80811771LSep 18 · 11:25O. Maslovskyi2.1011117113I. Fokin1.67781171LSep 18 · 09:55I. Fokin2.75712261V. Kheresko1.40111011113LSep 18 · 07:55M. Vivatenko1.61101111113I. Fokin2.20128851LSep 18 · 05:55M. Treschetka1.5081111153I. Fokin2.501135131WSep 18 · 04:55H. Oliynyk1.53111111962I. Fokin2.38541311113
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