TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vladimir Chornobab vs Anatolii Lievshin 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Vladimir Chornobab
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012811811––––
Anatolii Lievshin
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Lievshin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Chornobab above · Anatolii Lievshin below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 60 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Anatolii Lievshin at 54.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Chornobab 1–1 Anatolii Lievshin Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:28What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Lievshin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Chornobab 1717 vs Lievshin 1670
Chornobab
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chornobab 60% vs Lievshin 40%
Chornobab
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chornobab 60% vs Lievshin 30%
Chornobab
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chornobab +1 · Lievshin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lievshin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lievshin form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChornobab 2.00 / Lievshin 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lievshin)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13179912
Chornobab2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 11 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back21% 4 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Lievshin1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 126 of 214
Up 2–0, closes it94% 62 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it83% 98 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeChornobab1wins
AwayLievshin1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricChornobabLievshinC − LBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match39.048.5−9.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChornobabLievshinBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 131 vs 193 / 34964.1%55.3%84 / 131 vs 193 / 349Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LievshinChornobab 2.00/Lievshin 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lievshin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lievshin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 22 · 15:30V. Chornobab30712651A. Lievshin43111011113
WAug 19 · 08:20V. Chornobab48141228123A. Lievshin5412101111102
V. Chornobab10
WSep 23 · 09:50V. Chornobab1.401112511113A. Hrabskyi2.7561411492LSep 23 · 08:20V. Chornobab1.53461281O. Belskyi2.38111110113WSep 23 · 06:20V. Chornobab2.1091111113A. Yurkov1.67119611LSep 22 · 18:30V. Chornobab1.915410I. Hermakivskyi1.801111113WSep 22 · 16:30A. Hrabskyi2.63128981V. Chornobab1.44101111113LSep 22 · 15:30V. Chornobab1.83712651A. Lievshin1.83111011113WSep 22 · 14:30O. Belskyi2.208570V. Chornobab1.611111113LSep 22 · 13:00V. Chornobab2.008860A. Yurkov1.731111113WAug 19 · 11:50Y. Leymanovsky1.8091361172V. Chornobab1.911111119113WAug 19 · 10:50V. Chornobab2.101211125113A. Yurkov1.67148101162
A. Lievshin10
WSep 23 · 08:50O. Kolbasenko1.4011810101A. Lievshin2.7581112123LSep 23 · 07:50A. Lievshin1.339111091A. Hrabskyi3.2511412113LSep 23 · 06:50O. Belskyi1.8391111113A. Lievshin1.83113931WSep 22 · 19:00A. Yurkov2.1039111172A. Lievshin1.67111145113LSep 22 · 17:30A. Lievshin2.7536111192I. Hermakivskyi1.40111197113WSep 22 · 15:30V. Chornobab1.83712651A. Lievshin1.83111011113LSep 22 · 13:30A. Hrabskyi3.5011711113A. Lievshin1.28711881LSep 22 · 12:30O. Belskyi1.73138115113A. Lievshin2.00111181172LSep 21 · 17:40A. Lievshin1.915670I. Hermakivskyi1.801111113LSep 21 · 15:40O. Kolbasenko1.611111113A. Lievshin2.207250
Upcoming Matches
V. Chornobab
Nothing scheduled
A. Lievshin
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