TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Kolbasenko vs Anatolii Lievshin 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Oleksandr Kolbasenko
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11881110121012––
Anatolii Lievshin
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:10 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolbasenko to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Kolbasenko above · Anatolii Lievshin below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 82 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Oleksandr Kolbasenko at 62.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolbasenko 6–3 Anatolii Lievshin Anatolii Lievshin has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:10What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kolbasenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Kolbasenko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolbasenko 1733 vs Lievshin 1656
Kolbasenko
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolbasenko 60% vs Lievshin 40%
Kolbasenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolbasenko 50% vs Lievshin 30%
Kolbasenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolbasenko +2 · Lievshin -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Kolbasenko) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolbasenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolbasenko 1.40 / Lievshin 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Kolbasenko)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13180261
Kolbasenko1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite73% won 68 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it88% 38 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it85% 49 of 58
Lievshin2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 43 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back20% 11 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKolbasenko6wins
AwayLievshin3wins
3 of 9 to a deciderKolbasenko leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolbasenko62.5%5 of 8
AwayLievshinn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolbasenko8Lievshin1n = 9Kolbasenko took 8 of 9
S2Kolbasenko9Lievshin0n = 9Kolbasenko took 9 of 9
S3Kolbasenko5Lievshin4n = 9Kolbasenko took 5 of 9
S4Kolbasenko2Lievshin3n = 5Lievshin took 3 of 5
S5Kolbasenko0Lievshin3n = 3Lievshin took 3 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home444%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricKolbasenkoLievshinK − LBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set81+7of 9Avg pointsper match39.632.6+7.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolbasenkoLievshinBasisWin rate · lifetime175 / 328 vs 192 / 34853.4%55.2%175 / 328 vs 192 / 348Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolbasenkoKolbasenko 1.40/Lievshin 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.3%
Kolbasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lievshin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 21 · 15:40O. Kolbasenko331111113A. Lievshin147250
LSep 16 · 05:35O. Kolbasenko4711129872A. Lievshin474101111113
WSep 14 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko361111143A. Lievshin2888120
WSep 8 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko4591113123A. Lievshin3711511101
WSep 7 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko331111113A. Lievshin196850
WAug 26 · 09:20O. Kolbasenko3911116113A. Lievshin31671171
LAug 24 · 15:40O. Kolbasenko4511118692A. Lievshin46671111113
LAug 17 · 15:40O. Kolbasenko45111211382A. Lievshin527101311113
WMay 4 · 15:09O. Kolbasenko331111113A. Lievshin194780
O. Kolbasenko10
WSep 23 · 07:20O. Kolbasenko2.251411113A. Yurkov1.5712770WSep 23 · 05:50O. Kolbasenko1.501111113A. Hrabskyi2.506280LSep 21 · 16:40I. Fedoryshyn2.2041111113O. Kolbasenko1.61115781WSep 21 · 15:40O. Kolbasenko1.611111113A. Lievshin2.207250LSep 21 · 14:40O. Kolbasenko1.501158101A. Hrabskyi2.5041111123WSep 21 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko1.801111113O. Seliuchenko1.916950LSep 21 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko2.251611101I. Hermakivskyi1.5711119123LSep 16 · 11:05V. Marushchak1.441111113O. Kolbasenko2.636750LSep 16 · 10:05O. Kolbasenko2.501870O. Gavryshko1.501111113WSep 16 · 09:05O. Kolbasenko1.501171110143A. Hrabskyi2.50211312122
A. Lievshin10
LSep 23 · 07:50A. Lievshin1.339111091A. Hrabskyi3.2511412113LSep 23 · 06:50O. Belskyi1.8391111113A. Lievshin1.83113931WSep 22 · 19:00A. Yurkov2.1039111172A. Lievshin1.67111145113LSep 22 · 17:30A. Lievshin2.7536111192I. Hermakivskyi1.40111197113WSep 22 · 15:30V. Chornobab1.83712651A. Lievshin1.83111011113LSep 22 · 13:30A. Hrabskyi3.5011711113A. Lievshin1.28711881LSep 22 · 12:30O. Belskyi1.73138115113A. Lievshin2.00111181172LSep 21 · 17:40A. Lievshin1.915670I. Hermakivskyi1.801111113LSep 21 · 15:40O. Kolbasenko1.611111113A. Lievshin2.207250WSep 21 · 13:40I. Fedoryshyn2.0046100A. Lievshin1.731111123
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