TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Kolbasenko vs Artem Yurkov 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Oleksandr Kolbasenko
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1412117117––––
Artem Yurkov
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:30 and never touched — 58.4% is still 58.4%
Graded at full timeArtem Yurkov to win
58.4%
58.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Kolbasenko above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 62 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Artem Yurkov at 58.4%
62 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolbasenko 40–55 Artem Yurkov Oleksandr Kolbasenko has won 40 of their 95 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:30What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Yurkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-55 in 95
Yurkov
Wrong
gap of 15 in 95, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolbasenko 1733 vs Yurkov 1633
Kolbasenko
Correct
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolbasenko 60% vs Yurkov 20%
Kolbasenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolbasenko 40% vs Yurkov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolbasenko +1 · Yurkov -3
Yurkov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Yurkov) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yurkov form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolbasenko 2.25 / Yurkov 1.57
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Yurkov)-4.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13180085
Kolbasenko2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 23 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back20% 6 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Yurkov1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 195 of 332
Up 2–0, closes it93% 81 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it74% 132 of 179
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolbasenko5wins
AwayYurkov5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolbasenko60%3 of 5
AwayYurkov60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolbasenko5Yurkov5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolbasenko7Yurkov3n = 10Kolbasenko took 7 of 10
S3Kolbasenko6Yurkov4n = 10Kolbasenko took 6 of 10
S4Kolbasenko3Yurkov4n = 7Yurkov took 4 of 7
S5Kolbasenko2Yurkov3n = 5Yurkov took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolbasenkoYurkovK − YBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.738.4+1.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolbasenkoYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime175 / 328 vs 572 / 97453.4%58.7%175 / 328 vs 572 / 974Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.940.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurkovKolbasenko 2.25/Yurkov 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Yurkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolbasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 07:20O. Kolbasenko361411113A. Yurkov2612770
WSep 14 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko331111113A. Yurkov229760
WSep 8 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko47811611113A. Yurkov3911711552
WSep 7 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko52811139113A. Yurkov39116111102
LAug 26 · 12:20O. Kolbasenko4381141192A. Yurkov45114118113
LAug 24 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko4811891282A. Yurkov518111110113
WAug 17 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko361312113A. Yurkov29111080
LAug 10 · 12:10O. Kolbasenko33951271A. Yurkov43111110113
LAug 3 · 15:40O. Kolbasenko3611811152A. Yurkov49711911113
LJul 27 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko33811861A. Yurkov4111811113
O. Kolbasenko10
WSep 23 · 05:50O. Kolbasenko1.501111113A. Hrabskyi2.506280LSep 21 · 16:40I. Fedoryshyn2.2041111113O. Kolbasenko1.61115781WSep 21 · 15:40O. Kolbasenko1.611111113A. Lievshin2.207250LSep 21 · 14:40O. Kolbasenko1.501158101A. Hrabskyi2.5041111123WSep 21 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko1.801111113O. Seliuchenko1.916950LSep 21 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko2.251611101I. Hermakivskyi1.5711119123LSep 16 · 11:05V. Marushchak1.441111113O. Kolbasenko2.636750LSep 16 · 10:05O. Kolbasenko2.501870O. Gavryshko1.501111113WSep 16 · 09:05O. Kolbasenko1.501171110143A. Hrabskyi2.50211312122LSep 16 · 07:35O. Kolbasenko1.331071191V. Mishchenko3.2512119113
A. Yurkov10
LSep 23 · 06:20V. Chornobab2.1091111113A. Yurkov1.67119611LSep 22 · 19:00A. Yurkov2.1039111172A. Lievshin1.67111145113LSep 22 · 17:00O. Belskyi2.201111113A. Yurkov1.614740WSep 22 · 15:00A. Hrabskyi2.107960A. Yurkov1.671111113LSep 22 · 14:00A. Yurkov2.2513114552I. Hermakivskyi1.571191111113WSep 22 · 13:00V. Chornobab2.008860A. Yurkov1.731111113LSep 18 · 17:10A. Yurkov1.831191171A. Hrabskyi1.8313119113LSep 18 · 14:10A. Yurkov2.10131011352A. Lievshin1.671112811113WSep 18 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.67131161352A. Yurkov2.101591111113WSep 18 · 11:40A. Yurkov2.1018811113I. Fedoryshyn1.671611281
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