TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vladimir Chornobab vs Artem Yurkov 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Vladimir Chornobab
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911119116111––
Artem Yurkov
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:30 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeArtem Yurkov to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVladimir Chornobab above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-1
Point 69 set 4, 11-1 — our read held Artem Yurkov at 56.2%
69 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Chornobab 14–10 Artem Yurkov Artem Yurkov has won 10 of their 24 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:30What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Yurkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-10 in 24
Chornobab
Correct
gap of 4 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chornobab 1726 vs Yurkov 1633
Chornobab
Correct
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chornobab 40% vs Yurkov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chornobab 60% vs Yurkov 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chornobab -1 · Yurkov -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Yurkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yurkov form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChornobab 2.10 / Yurkov 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Yurkov)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13180086
Chornobab2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 11 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back21% 4 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Yurkov1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 195 of 332
Up 2–0, closes it93% 81 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it74% 132 of 179
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChornobab5wins
AwayYurkov5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChornobabn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayYurkov50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chornobab2Yurkov8n = 10Yurkov took 8 of 10
S2Chornobab5Yurkov5n = 10split evenly
S3Chornobab5Yurkov5n = 10split evenly
S4Chornobab4Yurkov3n = 7Chornobab took 4 of 7
S5Chornobab2Yurkov1n = 3Chornobab took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricChornobabYurkovC − YBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.438.6−1.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChornobabYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 129 vs 572 / 97464.3%58.7%83 / 129 vs 572 / 974Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.440.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurkovChornobab 2.10/Yurkov 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Yurkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chornobab won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 06:20V. Chornobab4291111113A. Yurkov27119611
LSep 22 · 13:00V. Chornobab228860A. Yurkov331111113
WAug 19 · 10:50V. Chornobab511211125113A. Yurkov49148101162
WJun 17 · 10:50V. Chornobab4011513113A. Yurkov339111121
LJun 16 · 20:50V. Chornobab2468100A. Yurkov341111123
LJun 10 · 09:20V. Chornobab44111264112A. Yurkov549101111133
WJun 9 · 18:20V. Chornobab51671211153A. Yurkov471111102132
LMay 27 · 09:20V. Chornobab238690A. Yurkov331111113
WMay 26 · 17:50V. Chornobab4481213113A. Yurkov3711101151
LMay 19 · 15:50V. Chornobab336116101A. Yurkov3911511123
V. Chornobab10
LSep 22 · 18:30V. Chornobab1.915410I. Hermakivskyi1.801111113WSep 22 · 16:30A. Hrabskyi2.63128981V. Chornobab1.44101111113LSep 22 · 15:30V. Chornobab1.83712651A. Lievshin1.83111011113WSep 22 · 14:30O. Belskyi2.208570V. Chornobab1.611111113LSep 22 · 13:00V. Chornobab2.008860A. Yurkov1.731111113WAug 19 · 11:50Y. Leymanovsky1.8091361172V. Chornobab1.911111119113WAug 19 · 10:50V. Chornobab2.101211125113A. Yurkov1.67148101162LAug 19 · 09:50V. Chornobab1.8376100O. Seliuchenko1.831111123WAug 19 · 08:20V. Chornobab1.83141228123A. Lievshin1.8312101111102WAug 19 · 06:20V. Chornobab1.44111111113A. Hrabskyi2.63413751
A. Yurkov10
LSep 23 · 07:20O. Kolbasenko2.251411113A. Yurkov1.5712770LSep 22 · 19:00A. Yurkov2.1039111172A. Lievshin1.67111145113LSep 22 · 17:00O. Belskyi2.201111113A. Yurkov1.614740WSep 22 · 15:00A. Hrabskyi2.107960A. Yurkov1.671111113LSep 22 · 14:00A. Yurkov2.2513114552I. Hermakivskyi1.571191111113WSep 22 · 13:00V. Chornobab2.008860A. Yurkov1.731111113LSep 18 · 17:10A. Yurkov1.831191171A. Hrabskyi1.8313119113LSep 18 · 14:10A. Yurkov2.10131011352A. Lievshin1.671112811113WSep 18 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.67131161352A. Yurkov2.101591111113LAug 19 · 10:50V. Chornobab2.101211125113A. Yurkov1.67148101162
Upcoming Matches
V. Chornobab
A. Yurkov
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.