TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Kolbasenko vs Andrii Hrabskyi 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Oleksandr Kolbasenko
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116112118––––
Andrii Hrabskyi
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:38 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolbasenko to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Kolbasenko above · Andrii Hrabskyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 49 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Oleksandr Kolbasenko at 64.9%
49 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolbasenko 26–7 Andrii Hrabskyi Andrii Hrabskyi has won 7 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:38What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kolbasenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-7 in 33
Kolbasenko
Correct
gap of 19 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolbasenko 1711 vs Hrabskyi 1628
Kolbasenko
Correct
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolbasenko 40% vs Hrabskyi 20%
Kolbasenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolbasenko 30% vs Hrabskyi 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolbasenko -1 · Hrabskyi -3
Hrabskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Kolbasenko) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrabskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolbasenko 1.50 / Hrabskyi 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Kolbasenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13179936
Kolbasenko1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 21)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 68 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it88% 38 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it85% 49 of 58
Hrabskyi2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 105 of 269
Down 0–1, comes back21% 34 of 162
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolbasenko7wins
AwayHrabskyi3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKolbasenko leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolbasenko75%3 of 4
AwayHrabskyi33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolbasenko4Hrabskyi6n = 10Hrabskyi took 6 of 10
S2Kolbasenko5Hrabskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Kolbasenko7Hrabskyi3n = 10Kolbasenko took 7 of 10
S4Kolbasenko4Hrabskyi6n = 10Hrabskyi took 6 of 10
S5Kolbasenko4Hrabskyi0n = 4Kolbasenko took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolbasenkoHrabskyiK − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match44.541.1+3.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolbasenkoHrabskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 331 vs 237 / 54753.2%43.3%176 / 331 vs 237 / 547Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolbasenkoKolbasenko 1.50/Hrabskyi 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Kolbasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolbasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 14:40O. Kolbasenko341158101A. Hrabskyi3841111123
WSep 16 · 09:05O. Kolbasenko531171110143A. Hrabskyi40211312122
LSep 14 · 17:10O. Kolbasenko37811991A. Hrabskyi3911611113
WSep 8 · 15:10O. Kolbasenko484111111113A. Hrabskyi4711961382
WSep 7 · 15:10O. Kolbasenko43111110113A. Hrabskyi35971271
WAug 26 · 06:50O. Kolbasenko517111111113A. Hrabskyi4111136652
WAug 24 · 14:40O. Kolbasenko52116158123A. Hrabskyi516111311102
WAug 17 · 14:40O. Kolbasenko46111311113A. Hrabskyi381311771
LAug 10 · 10:40O. Kolbasenko36991261A. Hrabskyi43111110113
WAug 3 · 14:40O. Kolbasenko45111112113A. Hrabskyi391391071
O. Kolbasenko10
LSep 21 · 16:40I. Fedoryshyn2.2041111113O. Kolbasenko1.61115781WSep 21 · 15:40O. Kolbasenko1.611111113A. Lievshin2.207250LSep 21 · 14:40O. Kolbasenko1.501158101A. Hrabskyi2.5041111123WSep 21 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko1.801111113O. Seliuchenko1.916950LSep 21 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko2.251611101I. Hermakivskyi1.5711119123LSep 16 · 11:05V. Marushchak1.441111113O. Kolbasenko2.636750LSep 16 · 10:05O. Kolbasenko2.501870O. Gavryshko1.501111113WSep 16 · 09:05O. Kolbasenko1.501171110143A. Hrabskyi2.50211312122LSep 16 · 07:35O. Kolbasenko1.331071191V. Mishchenko3.2512119113LSep 16 · 05:35O. Kolbasenko1.5711129872A. Lievshin2.254101111113
A. Hrabskyi10
LSep 22 · 18:00A. Hrabskyi1.83711771O. Belskyi1.8311711113LSep 22 · 16:30A. Hrabskyi2.63128981V. Chornobab1.44101111113LSep 22 · 15:00A. Hrabskyi2.107960A. Yurkov1.671111113WSep 22 · 13:30A. Hrabskyi3.5011711113A. Lievshin1.28711881LSep 22 · 12:00A. Hrabskyi2.2539100I. Hermakivskyi1.571111123WSep 21 · 17:10O. Seliuchenko1.8312830A. Hrabskyi1.831411113LSep 21 · 16:10I. Hermakivskyi1.61118911113A. Hrabskyi2.2051111862WSep 21 · 14:40O. Kolbasenko1.501158101A. Hrabskyi2.5041111123LSep 21 · 12:40A. Lievshin1.301111113A. Hrabskyi3.405650LSep 16 · 09:05O. Kolbasenko1.501171110143A. Hrabskyi2.50211312122
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