TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vladimir Chornobab vs Oleksandr Belskyi 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Vladimir Chornobab
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4116111210811––
Oleksandr Belskyi
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:18 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeVladimir Chornobab to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVladimir Chornobab above · Oleksandr Belskyi below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Vladimir Chornobab at 60.8%
73 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Chornobab 1–0 Oleksandr Belskyi Oleksandr Belskyi has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:18What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Chornobab
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Chornobab 1726 vs Belskyi 1560
Chornobab
Wrong
both rated, 166 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chornobab 60% vs Belskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chornobab 60% vs Belskyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chornobab +1 · Belskyi +3
Belskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Chornobab)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Belskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChornobab 1.53 / Belskyi 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Chornobab)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13180054
Chornobab1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite80% won 39 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Belskyi2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog22% won 10 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back8% 2 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeChornobab1wins
AwayBelskyi0wins
Chornobab leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricChornobabBelskyiC − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.020.0+13.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChornobabBelskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 129 vs 50 / 12264.3%41%83 / 129 vs 50 / 122Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.436.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChornobabChornobab 1.53/Belskyi 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Chornobab · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Belskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 22 · 14:30V. Chornobab331111113O. Belskyi208570
V. Chornobab10
WSep 23 · 06:20V. Chornobab2.1091111113A. Yurkov1.67119611LSep 22 · 18:30V. Chornobab1.915410I. Hermakivskyi1.801111113WSep 22 · 16:30A. Hrabskyi2.63128981V. Chornobab1.44101111113LSep 22 · 15:30V. Chornobab1.83712651A. Lievshin1.83111011113WSep 22 · 14:30O. Belskyi2.208570V. Chornobab1.611111113LSep 22 · 13:00V. Chornobab2.008860A. Yurkov1.731111113WAug 19 · 11:50Y. Leymanovsky1.8091361172V. Chornobab1.911111119113WAug 19 · 10:50V. Chornobab2.101211125113A. Yurkov1.67148101162LAug 19 · 09:50V. Chornobab1.8376100O. Seliuchenko1.831111123WAug 19 · 08:20V. Chornobab1.83141228123A. Lievshin1.8312101111102
O. Belskyi10
WSep 23 · 09:20O. Belskyi1.611111113A. Yurkov2.204540WSep 23 · 06:50O. Belskyi1.8391111113A. Lievshin1.83113931WSep 22 · 18:00A. Hrabskyi1.83711771O. Belskyi1.8311711113WSep 22 · 17:00O. Belskyi2.201111113A. Yurkov1.614740LSep 22 · 16:00O. Belskyi2.38165681I. Hermakivskyi1.53141111113LSep 22 · 14:30O. Belskyi2.208570V. Chornobab1.611111113WSep 22 · 12:30O. Belskyi1.73138115113A. Lievshin2.00111181172LAug 13 · 10:19O. Belskyi1.57111110382D. Neborak2.25761211113LAug 13 · 09:05O. Ivchuk1.8371111113O. Belskyi1.83118551WAug 13 · 07:35I. Hermakivskyi1.5311117652O. Belskyi2.38851111113
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