TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Valerii Kolesnykov vs Ihor Emets 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Valerii Kolesnykov
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
5111181171113311
Ihor Emets
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:07 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeValerii Kolesnykov to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingValerii Kolesnykov above · Ihor Emets below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 91 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Valerii Kolesnykov at 56.9%
91 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Kolesnykov 35–21 Ihor Emets Ihor Emets has won 21 of their 56 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 17:07What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kolesnykov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-21 in 56
Kolesnykov
Wrong
gap of 14 in 56, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolesnykov 1610 vs Emets 1490
Kolesnykov
Wrong
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolesnykov 60% vs Emets 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolesnykov 70% vs Emets 40%
Kolesnykov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolesnykov +1 · Emets -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kolesnykov) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Emets form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolesnykov 1.61 / Emets 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Kolesnykov)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13179680
Kolesnykov1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 93 of 150
Up 2–0, closes it91% 41 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it76% 62 of 82
Emets2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog39% won 47 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back25% 19 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back12% 6 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolesnykov8wins
AwayEmets2wins
7 of 10 to a deciderKolesnykov leads 8–2, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolesnykov80%4 of 5
AwayEmets20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolesnykov5Emets5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolesnykov9Emets1n = 10Kolesnykov took 9 of 10
S3Kolesnykov5Emets5n = 10split evenly
S4Kolesnykov4Emets6n = 10Emets took 6 of 10
S5Kolesnykov5Emets2n = 7Kolesnykov took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolesnykovEmetsK − EBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.341.0+3.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolesnykovEmetsBasisWin rate · lifetime352 / 661 vs 257 / 50553.3%50.9%352 / 661 vs 257 / 505Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolesnykovKolesnykov 1.61/Emets 2.20
Miss
What we said
60.9%
Kolesnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Emets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov43111155113I. Emets4296111152
WSep 15 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov4411813123I. Emets4081111101
WSep 2 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov471111104113I. Emets4467121182
WAug 27 · 10:05V. Kolesnykov47711115133I. Emets45114811112
WJul 23 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov4071111113I. Emets27112861
WJul 13 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov47911412113I. Emets48118111082
WJul 6 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov3911116113I. Emets33871171
WJun 29 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov49611119123I. Emets43116511102
LJun 22 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov4611119782I. Emets46671111113
LJun 17 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov41511114102I. Emets42112611123
V. Kolesnykov10
WSep 23 · 09:00V. Kolesnykov1.911121011113D. Khairov1.80111012972LSep 23 · 07:30V. Kolesnykov3.003280A. Troyan1.361111113LSep 23 · 06:00V. Kolesnykov1.8311129972O. Karpenko1.836101111113WSep 23 · 04:30V. Kolesnykov1.831111113O. Volynets1.838950WSep 21 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.618911101V. Kolesnykov2.2011115123WSep 21 · 09:30V. Kolesnykov1.611181110113A. Martyniuk2.2091181292LSep 21 · 08:30V. Kolesnykov3.00122671A. Troyan1.36101111113WSep 21 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov1.6171111133V. Bilobrov2.201135111WSep 21 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.1011418113D. Khairov1.679111681WSep 17 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.73111155113I. Emets2.0096111152
I. Emets10
LSep 23 · 09:30I. Emets1.363980A. Troyan3.001111113WSep 23 · 08:30I. Emets2.384101111113O. Volynets1.5311127672WSep 23 · 07:00I. Emets1.911211113D. Khairov1.8010890LSep 23 · 05:00I. Emets3.259111191O. Karpenko1.3311813113WSep 22 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.73157111042I. Emets2.001311712113LSep 22 · 10:05I. Emets1.676910A. Kurtenko2.101111113LSep 22 · 09:05I. Emets1.67511561A. Kovalenko2.1011611113LSep 22 · 07:35I. Emets1.449860O. Leonenko2.631111113WSep 22 · 05:35I. Emets1.67911411113F. Voinarovskyi2.1011511762LSep 17 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.73111155113I. Emets2.0096111152
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.