TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Osadchyi vs Ihor Emets 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
15137111171012411
Ihor Emets
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:59 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Osadchyi to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Osadchyi above · Ihor Emets below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 101 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Oleksandr Osadchyi at 54.9%
101 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Osadchyi 12–7 Ihor Emets Ihor Emets has won 7 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:59What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Osadchyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-7 in 19
Osadchyi
Wrong
gap of 5 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osadchyi 1499 vs Emets 1469
Osadchyi
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osadchyi 40% vs Emets 20%
Osadchyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osadchyi 50% vs Emets 30%
Osadchyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Osadchyi -3 · Emets -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Osadchyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Emets form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsadchyi 1.73 / Emets 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Osadchyi)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13172573
Osadchyi1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 108 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it97% 56 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it82% 78 of 95
Emets2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As underdog38% won 47 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back23% 18 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back12% 6 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOsadchyi7wins
AwayEmets3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderOsadchyi leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsadchyi66.7%6 of 9
AwayEmetsn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osadchyi9Emets1n = 10Osadchyi took 9 of 10
S2Osadchyi6Emets4n = 10Osadchyi took 6 of 10
S3Osadchyi2Emets8n = 10Emets took 8 of 10
S4Osadchyi4Emets4n = 8split evenly
S5Osadchyi3Emets0n = 3Osadchyi took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricOsadchyiEmetsO − EBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match37.734.4+3.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsadchyiEmetsBasisWin rate · lifetime442 / 857 vs 254 / 50051.6%50.8%442 / 857 vs 254 / 500Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsadchyiOsadchyi 1.73/Emets 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Osadchyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Emets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 09:05O. Osadchyi34117971I. Emets3411111113
LSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi29117651I. Emets3851111113
WAug 27 · 11:05O. Osadchyi51121297113I. Emets491010111172
WJul 29 · 05:35O. Osadchyi331111113I. Emets133550
LJul 1 · 10:30O. Osadchyi32118851I. Emets4071111113
WMar 9 · 11:50O. Osadchyi4111118113I. Emets37981191
WMar 2 · 10:50O. Osadchyi3711114113I. Emets36791191
WJun 19 · 06:20O. Osadchyi40113411113I. Emets4271111852
WJun 12 · 07:50O. Osadchyi47811611113I. Emets4411911582
WJun 9 · 05:50O. Osadchyi331111113I. Emets113530
O. Osadchyi10
LSep 22 · 09:35O. Osadchyi1.7351181152O. Leonenko2.00118117113LSep 22 · 08:05O. Osadchyi1.678670A. Kurtenko2.101111113LSep 22 · 06:35O. Osadchyi1.571111111092F. Voinarovskyi2.25139512113WSep 22 · 05:05O. Osadchyi1.501111113A. Kovalenko2.505860WSep 21 · 12:50O. Osadchyi1.28115117113E. Populovskyi3.5071151182LSep 21 · 10:50O. Leonenko1.91915126113O. Osadchyi1.801113101152WSep 21 · 08:50A. Kurtenko2.25911141392O. Osadchyi1.571161611113WSep 21 · 07:50O. Osadchyi2.101111133S. Solomko1.6737110LSep 21 · 06:50S. Hryhorenko1.801111113O. Osadchyi1.918630WSep 20 · 11:50A. Kotiash1.4011881292O. Osadchyi2.754111110113
I. Emets10
LSep 22 · 10:05I. Emets1.676910A. Kurtenko2.101111113LSep 22 · 09:05I. Emets1.67511561A. Kovalenko2.1011611113LSep 22 · 07:35I. Emets1.449860O. Leonenko2.631111113WSep 22 · 05:35I. Emets1.67911411113F. Voinarovskyi2.1011511762LSep 17 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.73111155113I. Emets2.0096111152LSep 17 · 10:05I. Emets1.50911741F. Voinarovskyi2.5011911113WSep 17 · 09:05I. Emets2.0011111113O. Osadchyi1.73117971WSep 17 · 07:35I. Emets1.4461111113O. Leonenko2.63118991LSep 17 · 05:35I. Emets2.004114171O. Volynets1.7311911193LSep 15 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov1.7311813123I. Emets2.0081111101
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