TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ihor Emets vs Andrey Troyan 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Ihor Emets
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311911811––––
Andrey Troyan
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:07 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeIhor Emets to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIhor Emets above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 53 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Ihor Emets at 67.9%
53 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Emets 23–4 Andrey Troyan Andrey Troyan has won 4 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:07What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Emets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-4 in 27
Emets
Wrong
gap of 19 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Emets 1498 vs Troyan 1641
Troyan
Correct
both rated, 143 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Emets 60% vs Troyan 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Emets 40% vs Troyan 70%
Troyan
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Emets +2 · Troyan +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Emets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Troyan form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEmets 1.36 / Troyan 3.00
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Emets)-0.9pp
Setka Cup · #13179650
Emets1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite69% won 64 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it83% 44 of 53
Troyan3.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog29% won 50 of 172
Down 0–1, comes back14% 15 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeEmets8wins
AwayTroyan2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderEmets leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeEmets88.9%8 of 9
AwayTroyann = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Emets9Troyan1n = 10Emets took 9 of 10
S2Emets4Troyan6n = 10Troyan took 6 of 10
S3Emets7Troyan3n = 10Emets took 7 of 10
S4Emets4Troyan2n = 6Emets took 4 of 6
S5Emets2Troyan1n = 3Emets took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricEmetsTroyanE − TBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match38.530.8+7.7per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEmetsTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime257 / 504 vs 472 / 97551%48.4%257 / 504 vs 472 / 975Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
EmetsEmets 1.36/Troyan 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.9%
Emets · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Troyan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 05:00I. Emets3911512113A. Troyan356111081
WSep 2 · 09:30I. Emets331111113A. Troyan206860
WAug 31 · 05:00I. Emets3811511113A. Troyan28911441
LAug 25 · 05:00I. Emets197660A. Troyan331111113
WJul 21 · 10:05I. Emets4211911113A. Troyan31811751
WJul 13 · 08:05I. Emets50111189113A. Troyan4047111172
LJul 6 · 10:05I. Emets4611961192A. Troyan41311115113
WJul 1 · 08:30I. Emets521191110113A. Troyan4591171262
WJun 29 · 05:00I. Emets331111113A. Troyan219930
WJun 24 · 05:00I. Emets331111113A. Troyan143380
I. Emets10
WSep 23 · 08:30I. Emets2.384101111113O. Volynets1.5311127672WSep 23 · 07:00I. Emets1.911211113D. Khairov1.8010890LSep 23 · 05:00I. Emets3.259111191O. Karpenko1.3311813113WSep 22 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.73157111042I. Emets2.001311712113LSep 22 · 10:05I. Emets1.676910A. Kurtenko2.101111113LSep 22 · 09:05I. Emets1.67511561A. Kovalenko2.1011611113LSep 22 · 07:35I. Emets1.449860O. Leonenko2.631111113WSep 22 · 05:35I. Emets1.67911411113F. Voinarovskyi2.1011511762LSep 17 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.73111155113I. Emets2.0096111152LSep 17 · 10:05I. Emets1.50911741F. Voinarovskyi2.5011911113
A. Troyan10
WSep 23 · 07:30V. Kolesnykov3.003280A. Troyan1.361111113WSep 23 · 06:30A. Troyan1.571311113O. Volynets2.2511980LSep 23 · 05:30D. Khairov2.25116117113A. Troyan1.5781191132WSep 22 · 11:30V. Bilobrov2.753740A. Troyan1.401111113LSep 22 · 10:00A. Troyan2.751176101Y. Kovshun1.4071111123WSep 22 · 08:00A. Martyniuk2.1011118862A. Troyan1.67771111113LSep 22 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.7371211113A. Troyan2.001110481WSep 22 · 05:00O. Volynets2.204770A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 21 · 11:00V. Bilobrov2.388390A. Troyan1.531111113WSep 21 · 10:00D. Khairov2.20911931A. Troyan1.6111511113
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