TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Bilobrov vs Andrey Troyan 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Volodymyr Bilobrov
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311711411––––
Andrey Troyan
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:49 and never touched — 68.3% is still 68.3%
Graded at full timeAndrey Troyan to win
68.3%
68.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Bilobrov above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 47 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Andrey Troyan at 68.3%
47 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Bilobrov 5–13 Andrey Troyan Volodymyr Bilobrov has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:49What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Troyan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-13 in 18
Troyan
Correct
gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bilobrov 1575 vs Troyan 1628
Troyan
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bilobrov 40% vs Troyan 60%
Troyan
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bilobrov 60% vs Troyan 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bilobrov +1 · Troyan -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Troyan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Troyan form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBilobrov 2.75 / Troyan 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Troyan)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13172332
Bilobrov2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog36% won 26 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back16% 5 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Troyan1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 177 of 266
Up 2–0, closes it92% 96 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it79% 135 of 172
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBilobrov2wins
AwayTroyan8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTroyan leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBilobrov33.3%2 of 6
AwayTroyan100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bilobrov6Troyan4n = 10Bilobrov took 6 of 10
S2Bilobrov6Troyan4n = 10Bilobrov took 6 of 10
S3Bilobrov2Troyan8n = 10Troyan took 8 of 10
S4Bilobrov1Troyan5n = 6Troyan took 5 of 6
S5Bilobrov0Troyan4n = 4Troyan took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBilobrovTroyanB − TBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.138.7−5.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBilobrovTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 176 vs 469 / 97146%48.3%81 / 176 vs 469 / 971Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TroyanBilobrov 2.75/Troyan 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.3%
Troyan · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Troyan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 11:00V. Bilobrov208390A. Troyan331111113
WSep 18 · 08:00V. Bilobrov331111113A. Troyan229580
LSep 15 · 11:30V. Bilobrov162950A. Troyan331111113
LSep 12 · 12:05V. Bilobrov304101151A. Troyan4111127113
LSep 11 · 11:30V. Bilobrov203890A. Troyan331111113
LAug 31 · 11:30V. Bilobrov48111197102A. Troyan51981111123
LAug 25 · 08:00V. Bilobrov3511113462A. Troyan48961111113
LAug 19 · 07:05V. Bilobrov4412117772A. Troyan481051111113
WAug 17 · 11:30V. Bilobrov4411119133A. Troyan357611111
LAug 11 · 08:30V. Bilobrov4111118382A. Troyan43191111113
V. Bilobrov10
WSep 22 · 09:30O. Volynets3.008860V. Bilobrov1.361111113LSep 22 · 07:30Y. Volkov1.531113119113V. Bilobrov2.3881581122LSep 22 · 06:30V. Bilobrov2.38114661Y. Kovshun1.5391111113WSep 22 · 05:30A. Martyniuk3.756950V. Bilobrov1.251111113LSep 21 · 11:00V. Bilobrov2.388390A. Troyan1.531111113WSep 21 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.3656100V. Bilobrov3.001111123WSep 21 · 08:00V. Bilobrov2.25118911133D. Khairov1.57711114112LSep 21 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov1.6171111133V. Bilobrov2.201135111WSep 21 · 05:30V. Bilobrov1.281111113A. Martyniuk3.508570WSep 18 · 11:00V. Bilobrov2.20116611113O. Karpenko1.6141111572
A. Troyan10
LSep 22 · 10:00A. Troyan2.751176101Y. Kovshun1.4071111123WSep 22 · 08:00A. Martyniuk2.1011118862A. Troyan1.67771111113LSep 22 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.7371211113A. Troyan2.001110481WSep 22 · 05:00O. Volynets2.204770A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 21 · 11:00V. Bilobrov2.388390A. Troyan1.531111113WSep 21 · 10:00D. Khairov2.20911931A. Troyan1.6111511113WSep 21 · 08:30V. Kolesnykov3.00122671A. Troyan1.36101111113LSep 21 · 06:30A. Martyniuk2.501111133A. Troyan1.5069110LSep 21 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.731211113A. Troyan2.0010340LSep 18 · 11:30S. Kyienko2.10971111113A. Troyan1.6711115482
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