TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Dmytro Khairov vs Andrey Troyan 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Dmytro Khairov
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118611119711113
Andrey Troyan
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:07 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeAndrey Troyan to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Khairov above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 88 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Andrey Troyan at 59.3%
88 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Khairov 27–46 Andrey Troyan Dmytro Khairov has won 27 of their 73 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:07What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Troyan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-46 in 73
Troyan
Wrong
gap of 19 in 73, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khairov 1568 vs Troyan 1633
Troyan
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khairov 40% vs Troyan 60%
Troyan
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khairov 70% vs Troyan 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khairov +1 · Troyan +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Troyan)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhairov 2.25 / Troyan 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Troyan)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13179621
Khairov2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 21)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 41 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back19% 10 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Troyan1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 180 of 269
Up 2–0, closes it93% 98 of 106
Up 1–0, closes it79% 137 of 174
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhairov6wins
AwayTroyan4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKhairov leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhairov100%3 of 3
AwayTroyan57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khairov3Troyan7n = 10Troyan took 7 of 10
S2Khairov7Troyan3n = 10Khairov took 7 of 10
S3Khairov5Troyan5n = 10split evenly
S4Khairov4Troyan3n = 7Khairov took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhairovTroyanK − TBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.736.3−0.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhairovTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime203 / 426 vs 470 / 97247.7%48.4%203 / 426 vs 470 / 972Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TroyanKhairov 2.25/Troyan 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Troyan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Khairov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 10:00D. Khairov32911931A. Troyan3811511113
LSep 10 · 11:35D. Khairov92340A. Troyan331111113
WSep 8 · 06:05D. Khairov4311911123A. Troyan359115101
LSep 7 · 08:00D. Khairov174580A. Troyan331111113
WSep 2 · 06:30D. Khairov53711149123A. Troyan521181211102
WAug 31 · 08:00D. Khairov3951111123A. Troyan331166101
LAug 26 · 08:35D. Khairov439159101A. Troyan47111311123
WJul 21 · 08:05D. Khairov4212118113A. Troyan361071181
WJul 20 · 10:35D. Khairov46131111113A. Troyan30153841
WJun 29 · 11:30D. Khairov331111113A. Troyan268990
D. Khairov10
WSep 21 · 11:30A. Martyniuk2.0011113472D. Khairov1.73671111113LSep 21 · 10:00D. Khairov2.20911931A. Troyan1.6111511113LSep 21 · 08:00V. Bilobrov2.25118911133D. Khairov1.57711114112WSep 21 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.50961161D. Khairov2.5011114113LSep 21 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.1011418113D. Khairov1.679111681WSep 20 · 12:20D. Khairov1.831111113E. Populovskyi1.839340WSep 20 · 10:20A. Kotiash1.538650D. Khairov2.381111113WSep 20 · 09:20D. Khairov1.44111111133S. Solomko2.639813111WSep 20 · 08:20O. Osadchyi1.73821151D. Khairov2.0011117113WSep 20 · 06:50D. Khairov1.361112113A. Kurtenko3.0051020
A. Troyan10
WSep 23 · 06:30A. Troyan1.571311113O. Volynets2.2511980WSep 22 · 11:30V. Bilobrov2.753740A. Troyan1.401111113LSep 22 · 10:00A. Troyan2.751176101Y. Kovshun1.4071111123WSep 22 · 08:00A. Martyniuk2.1011118862A. Troyan1.67771111113LSep 22 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.7371211113A. Troyan2.001110481WSep 22 · 05:00O. Volynets2.204770A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 21 · 11:00V. Bilobrov2.388390A. Troyan1.531111113WSep 21 · 10:00D. Khairov2.20911931A. Troyan1.6111511113WSep 21 · 08:30V. Kolesnykov3.00122671A. Troyan1.36101111113LSep 21 · 06:30A. Martyniuk2.501111133A. Troyan1.5069110
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