TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Maksymkiv vs Denys Kozoriz 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Oleh Maksymkiv
Home
3.75
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611911––––
Denys Kozoriz
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:08 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeDenys Kozoriz to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Maksymkiv above · Denys Kozoriz below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 56 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Denys Kozoriz at 79.4%
56 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Maksymkiv 1–8 Denys Kozoriz Oleh Maksymkiv has won 1 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:08What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Kozoriz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-8 in 9
Kozoriz
Correct
gap of 7 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksymkiv 1272 vs Kozoriz 1399
Kozoriz
Correct
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksymkiv 100% vs Kozoriz 60%
Maksymkiv
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksymkiv 70% vs Kozoriz 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksymkiv +5 · Kozoriz +2
Maksymkiv
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Kozoriz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kozoriz form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksymkiv 3.75 / Kozoriz 1.25
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Kozoriz)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13179628
Maksymkiv3.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog38% won 57 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back19% 16 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 51
Kozoriz1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 56 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it91% 40 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it83% 47 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeMaksymkiv1wins
AwayKozoriz8wins
4 of 9 to a deciderKozoriz leads 8–1, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksymkiv33.3%1 of 3
AwayKozoriz100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksymkiv3Kozoriz6n = 9Kozoriz took 6 of 9
S2Maksymkiv3Kozoriz6n = 9Kozoriz took 6 of 9
S3Maksymkiv3Kozoriz6n = 9Kozoriz took 6 of 9
S4Maksymkiv1Kozoriz5n = 6Kozoriz took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away333%
These 9 meetings
MetricMaksymkivKozorizM − KBasisWins18−7in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match27.140.4−13.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksymkivKozorizBasisWin rate · lifetime390 / 748 vs 273 / 51052.1%53.5%390 / 748 vs 273 / 510Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.134.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KozorizMaksymkiv 3.75/Kozoriz 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Kozoriz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kozoriz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 9 · 11:25O. Maksymkiv25521171D. Kozoriz4011117113
LSep 2 · 10:55O. Maksymkiv21113611D. Kozoriz4181111113
LDec 20 · 05:55O. Maksymkiv177370D. Kozoriz331111113
LDec 19 · 08:55O. Maksymkiv203980D. Kozoriz331111113
WDec 8 · 06:25O. Maksymkiv52111974113D. Kozoriz55917111172
LDec 4 · 05:55O. Maksymkiv37101111142D. Kozoriz48128611113
LNov 12 · 14:55O. Maksymkiv188640D. Kozoriz331111113
O. Maksymkiv10
LSep 23 · 11:25O. Melnik1.501110118113O. Maksymkiv2.5091221152WSep 23 · 07:55V. Hel2.001111691O. Maksymkiv1.7313711113WSep 23 · 05:55S. Kryvoshyi1.331091181O. Maksymkiv3.2512116113WSep 23 · 04:55A. Dulich1.509114121O. Maksymkiv2.5011611143WSep 20 · 18:25O. Maksymkiv1.8011115133V. Kheresko1.917911111WSep 20 · 16:25V. Salivonchyk1.91741181O. Maksymkiv1.8011119113LSep 20 · 15:25O. Maksymkiv1.4471110111I. Fokin2.6311712133WSep 20 · 14:28O. Maslovskyi4.4078121132O. Maksymkiv1.151111109113WSep 20 · 12:55O. Maksymkiv2.751113119113M. Treschetka1.4091561182LSep 17 · 18:25V. Hel1.8311119113O. Maksymkiv1.83891161
D. Kozoriz10
WSep 23 · 10:55V. Hel3.00116391D. Kozoriz1.3671111113WSep 23 · 08:25A. Dulich2.50117681D. Kozoriz1.5051111113WSep 23 · 06:25O. Melnik1.7351350D. Kozoriz2.001115113LSep 23 · 04:25S. Kryvoshyi2.2551211123D. Kozoriz1.5711102101LSep 22 · 18:55K. Tkachenko1.80911811103D. Kozoriz1.9111611832WSep 22 · 17:25D. Kozoriz1.44611511133D. Kasian2.63118116112LSep 22 · 15:25O. Melnik1.801211133D. Kozoriz1.91109110WSep 22 · 13:25V. Hel2.388111161D. Kozoriz1.5311138113WSep 22 · 12:25S. Kryvoshyi2.3811119592D. Kozoriz1.53771111113WSep 9 · 11:25O. Maksymkiv3.75521171D. Kozoriz1.2511117113
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