TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Anatolii Dulich vs Denys Kozoriz 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Anatolii Dulich
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115711611811––
Denys Kozoriz
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:09 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeDenys Kozoriz to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatolii Dulich above · Denys Kozoriz below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 70 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Denys Kozoriz at 62.5%
70 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Dulich 0–2 Denys Kozoriz Anatolii Dulich has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:09What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kozoriz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Dulich 1393 vs Kozoriz 1387
Dulich
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dulich 60% vs Kozoriz 40%
Dulich
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dulich 70% vs Kozoriz 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dulich -2 · Kozoriz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kozoriz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kozoriz form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDulich 2.50 / Kozoriz 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Kozoriz)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13179652
Dulich2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 9 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back30% 3 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Kozoriz1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 56 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it91% 40 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it83% 47 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeDulich0wins
AwayKozoriz2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderKozoriz leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricDulichKozorizD − KBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match29.541.5−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDulichKozorizBasisWin rate · lifetime123 / 258 vs 272 / 50947.7%53.4%123 / 258 vs 272 / 509Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.734.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KozorizDulich 2.50/Kozoriz 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Kozoriz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kozoriz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LMar 21 · 17:25A. Dulich4411711692D. Kozoriz50811911113
LMar 5 · 19:25A. Dulich153660D. Kozoriz331111113
A. Dulich10
LSep 23 · 06:55A. Dulich1.614580V. Hel2.201111113LSep 23 · 04:55A. Dulich1.509114121O. Maksymkiv2.5011611143WJul 14 · 17:55O. Maksymkiv2.2571141132A. Dulich1.57118116113WJul 14 · 16:55A. Dulich1.4011711133O. Melnik2.758115111WJul 14 · 15:55A. Dulich1.2281111123S. Kryvoshyi4.001197101WJul 14 · 14:25A. Dulich1.33119711113K. Tkachenko3.2571111942WJul 14 · 12:25A. Dulich1.301111113V. Kheresko3.409540WJul 9 · 10:25O. Maksymkiv2.10111151052A. Dulich1.67991112113LJul 9 · 09:25A. Dulich2.6311691182M. Styranets1.44711119113WJul 9 · 08:25A. Dulich1.441111123V. Kheresko2.6385100
D. Kozoriz10
WSep 23 · 06:25O. Melnik1.7351350D. Kozoriz2.001115113LSep 23 · 04:25S. Kryvoshyi2.2551211123D. Kozoriz1.5711102101LSep 22 · 18:55K. Tkachenko1.80911811103D. Kozoriz1.9111611832WSep 22 · 17:25D. Kozoriz1.44611511133D. Kasian2.63118116112LSep 22 · 15:25O. Melnik1.801211133D. Kozoriz1.91109110WSep 22 · 13:25V. Hel2.388111161D. Kozoriz1.5311138113WSep 22 · 12:25S. Kryvoshyi2.3811119592D. Kozoriz1.53771111113WSep 9 · 11:25O. Maksymkiv3.75521171D. Kozoriz1.2511117113LSep 9 · 09:55D. Kozoriz1.8091120A. Didyk1.911113113WSep 9 · 07:55V. Dobrovolskyi1.36411851D. Kozoriz3.0011611113
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